Too Late, Too Furious: Tokyo Drift - The 2020 Olympics Thread

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The team in Rio was also pretty much just a one trick pony and it woked out fine, although it only had three men in it (I know the course was harder, too).

I agree, that there are other tactical choices, that Lund could have considered, he probably has, but I also think the chosen strategy makes sense, but it will of course depend on how hard the route actually is, and how the race unfolds. Lund knows that Juul, Valgren and Fuglsang not only know each other quite well, but also have proved that they can work well together. And I would think Fuglsang has been consulted during the process as well, though Lund obviously had the final say.

I can't see, why Valgren wouldn't be able to play the same role as Honoré/Kron in your scenario, and I still won't rate them higher than him, especially not in a championship race, where we know Valgren usually performs at a high level, and just because Asgreen will mainly be there to help Fuglsang, it doesn't mean he could/should only be used to fetch bottles.

Juul's fitness level could be an issue, though they might not expect him to be present for long into the final anyway. It should also be noted that the IOC/UCI deadline for entry submissions is July 5th, so, though it seems very unlikely, Juul could be replaced, if he were already feeling too tired on the first rest day of the Tour.
Yes but the team in Rio was devoid of other options - that is not the case now, it's 5 years later and Danish cycling is booming.

Speaking of other tactical choices, people tend to forget that is how Mads P won Worlds, he was neither first choice, nor supposed to be there in the end. However both at worlds last year, and now the Olympics, Lund has seems to have regressed to the old way of doing things, putting all our eggs in one basket.

As for Valgren - yes he can do the same job - but both Honore and Kron have been better, last year and this year, so leaving them out for him makes no sense (and yes, I like Valgren, just like I like Juul, this is purely tactical).

I guess Lund doesn't have a high opinion of Honore, he also burned him up at Worlds, as the first or second guy pulling the peloton, when we absolutely did not need to.

But hey, my take on all this may change during the Tour, Valgren and Fuglsang may both take stages and completely change my mind.
 
As for Valgren - yes he can do the same job - but both Honore and Kron have been better, last year and this year
In what races?
Kron has never ridden a Monument in his life. As far as I know, the longest race he's done was the NC last week, and it's not like he won with a one minute gap on the peloton.
Honore has ridden 2 Monuments in his life and cracked the top50 once (yes, he was working for others, but still...).
In the time frame you mention Valgren was 11th in a very hard WC, 21th in the Ronde, 13th in AGR. He also has a history of overperforming in national teams events, as @Samu Cuenca says.

The youngsters have surely impressed in the last few months, but this is a different beast entirely. We're talking about 237 km Olympic course with almost 5000 mt of climbing. Winning a Catalunya or Itzulia stage to me has little relevance in this context.
 
In what races?
Kron has never ridden a Monument in his life. As far as I know, the longest race he's done was the NC last week, and it's not like he won with a one minute gap on the peloton.
Honore has ridden 2 Monuments in his life and cracked the top50 once (yes, he was working for others, but still...).
In the time frame you mention Valgren was 11th in a very hard WC, 21th in the Ronde, 13th in AGR. He also has a history of overperforming in national teams events, as @Samu Cuenca says.

The youngsters have surely impressed in the last few months, but this is a different beast entirely. We're talking about 237 km Olympic course with almost 5000 mt of climbing. Winning a Catalunya or Itzulia stage to me has little relevance in this context.
They have won.
 
Italian team

RR: Moscon, Bettiol, Nibali, Caruso, Ciccone
TT: Ganna, Bettiol
I can understand why Formolo won't be there. Giro+Tour and the jetlag is probably too much.
He is also faster than Formolo in a sprint.

No Ulissi is the most important thing. He's a great stagehunter and a guy for semiclassics, but a poor descender and he can't really handle a long, hard one day race.
 
I could care less about the Olympics. I’ll watch it and a lot of riders invest in it, but it’s just not my thing when it comes to cycling. I’ll watch it and enjoy it, but don’t find it any more valuable than a Lombardía, LBL, or rainbow jersey.

On the plus side, this course is pretty badass.
 
Benoot, Vansevenant and Van Avermaet will join Van Aert & Evenepoel.
Not sure if Van Avermaet can still be of use on this course.
I don't recall the rules, is he selected on a personal extra spot because he is the reigning champion, or does the country just get an extra spot and the federation decides?
I would think neither? We got 5 spots, same as other countries, and his name has only just been revealed, so he had no more "dibs" on that spot than anybody else.
He'll be the road captain. Last year at the Worlds he proved to be a good teammate for Van Aert, and on a good day he can still survive a hard course in a one day race. He's usually also very resistant to heat.

I agree the years begin to count a little and he's not always up there as much as he was for many, many times. But he still can be of value, and I believe he will show himself in Tour the coming weeks.
 
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Colombians have to play this smart because they've chosen an unbalanced - They must ensure one of their riders gets into every break as they have no flat land grunt in the team , outside of Martinez.
Every country has a small team, so not a lot of countries have the "luxury" of having a dedicated flat road domestique. There are countries with only one or two participants. Everybody will need to play it smart to maximize the potential of a small team. They can, just like many others, profit from the work of other teams. I think flat land grunt wouldn't get far on this course anyway. It's not like Higuita, Martinez and Uran can't hold their own on flat roads. For a moment i was thinking about Narvaez, but he's not colombian... Who would you have picked?
 
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