Duchère is important for the stage win. Croix-Rousse is nothing. The Dauphiné had a finish there a few years ago, won by lauded puncheur John Degenkolb.
It would've mattered if the entire profile was such that the flat sprinters wouldn't have been dropped already.Duchère is important for the stage win. Croix-Rousse is nothing. The Dauphiné had a finish there a few years ago, won by lauded puncheur John Degenkolb.
I think it's way too hard for him. He really doesn't climb very well.Mads Pedersen maybe?
Not that I think that Pedersen has a good chance but there's nothing more difficult than 1.3km - 5.4% in the last 90 km - this stage is really not that hard. If it was in a smaller race without dozens of very good riders thinking it's their best chance to win the stage in the entire Tour, this would've ended up as a slightly reduced bunch sprint most of the time IMO.I think it's way too hard for him. He really doesn't climb very well.
Not that I think that Pedersen has a good chance but there's nothing more difficult than 1.3km - 5.4% in the last 90 km - this stage is really not that hard. If it was in a smaller race without dozens of very good riders thinking it's their best chance to win the stage in the entire Tour, this would've ended up as a slightly reduced bunch sprint most of the time IMO.
That's assuming Bora and CCC will want to commit everything to dropping other sprinters. Yeah, it's possible but stage 2 had more difficult climbs far away from the finish and they didn't really drop that many riders there so it's all question of motivation rather than a hard stage, as I said earlier.Most of the sprinters will get dropped on the long climb by Bora and CCC. They won't even be there in the final.
Stage 2 is completely incomparable cause no sprinter was gonna win there so Bora and CCC had no reason to ride whatsoever.That's assuming Bora and CCC will want to commit everything to dropping other sprinters. Yeah, it's possible but stage 2 had more difficult climbs far away from the finish and they didn't really drop that many riders there so it's all question of motivation rather than a hard stage, as I said earlier.
it’s quite unusual to have to take into account the possibility of a battle for a points jersey impacting the way so many stages play out. In other races the points jersey just isn’t a big enough deal. In the Tour there’s rarely a real contest.
I think the best option for Sagan is to be in the break with a couple of teammates like Oss and Grossschartner.
They lost Muhlberger and Kamna/Schachmann are probably spent after yesterday. I don't think they have the firepower to control a strong break on such terrain.
I want a 3 man break:
De Gendt, Kung, Asgreen....... unless this is the stage Jumbo lets Der Panzerwagen go, then I want a 4 man break.
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