Tour de France 2020 | Stage 2 (Nice Haut Pays - Nice, 186 km)

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So...

Alaphilippe is a very serious contender if he's not affected by yesterday.
Higuita should be doing very well here, too, if he's in shape, which is not entirely clear to me by now.
Pogacar is a possibility.

Then there's Roglic himself, who should be interested in the bonus seconds and who's quite well equipped for this stage.

Also I can imagine a scenario where van Aert helps Roglic until the final climb, Roglic takes the bonus seconds, and van Aert then goes on for the win.

Lopez could try to take his chances here and do very well on the Chemins, but I don't really see him winning the stage.

Could it be Schachmann has healed enough to do something here?

Ah, no... I don't dare to predict this stage.
 
A day fir the break I think. Polkadot hunters and breakaway specialists. Schär, de Gendt, Edet etc. And of course five-six French riders from B&B, Direct Energie, Cofidis, FDJ.

Agreed. De Gendt conveniently lost 11 minutes yesterday, as did Cousin. So them two will almost certainly be aiming to be in the break I would have thought. De Marchi is in great form. I'd love him to go in it and grab a stage win, although maybe Schar goes again or Geschke. CCC certainly need to do something to address their absence of any results since the return from lockdown. Pacher could go well here too and may want to target the KoM jersey?
 
I just have no idea where Alaphilippes climbing is right now. I see a lot of pundits saying Van Aert and Alaphilippe, but that would require quite a big group after Turini.

Sadly I'm starting to expect a group of 50+ over Turini with nobody pushing it. Will be interesting to compare the climbing time to 2019 PN. My guess is they'll do both Colmiane and Turini in 45 minutes.
 
I just have no idea where Alaphilippes climbing is right now. I see a lot of pundits saying Van Aert and Alaphilippe, but that would require quite a big group after Turini.

Sadly I'm starting to expect a group of 50+ over Turini with nobody pushing it. Will be interesting to compare the climbing time to 2019 PN. My guess is they'll do both Colmiane and Turini in 45 minutes.
All the climbs seem to be roughly the same direction (headed east) and therefore strong tailwind looking at the forecast
 
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