It all depends whether Jumbo wants Kuss after Lucette or not. If yes, tempo will be high and not all-out and there will certainly be at least 10 guys over the top. If not, Kuss will destroy the field and then Rogla or Dumo will be launched somewhere near the top, or even after, and then we'll have a race.
Powless (EF) en Valgren (NTT) and Lutsenko rejoin the other + one Bora
I think it's kinda 50-50 whether it will be a break or not.
The best breakaway possibility is clearly Nicholas Roche. His climbing on Stages 2 and 4 was really surprisingly good and then he purposely dropped 7 minutes on Stage 5, which makes his intentions very clear for this stage.
If it's not a break though, the long drag to the finish suits a second tier contender who can escape late without the main GC guys being too worried.
You get the feeling JV do a bit too much, obviously on flying form but you need to pace it surely
Sky used to stick Richie and co in the grupetto and they would pop up as and when a big stage was in effect. The likes of Van Aert, talented though he might be, surely can't keep this up.
Strong break:
GVA
Roche
Cavagna
Powless
Herrada
Lutsenko
EBH
Oss
Really only Oss. While Cavagna and EBH and probably also GvA won't win, they already have shown that they can power through tough climbs and the last 15 km are rather false flat. But maybe some of them are also in there for tactical purpose (Oss and Cavagna) for the false flat if Buchmann or Alaphilippe wants to attack or need to be brought back after the climb.A few odd choices for a MT finish though
Yep, makes sense.Really only Oss. While Cavagna and EBH and probably also GvA won't win, they already have shown that they can power through tough climbs and the last 15 km are rather false flat. But maybe some of them are also in there for tactical purpose (Oss and Cavagna) for the false flat if Buchmann or Alaphilippe wants to attack or need to be brought back after the climb.
If they are in there for other reasons I understand I more meant odd choices for a winReally only Oss. While Cavagna and EBH and probably also GvA won't win, they already have shown that they can power through tough climbs and the last 15 km are rather false flat. But maybe some of them are also in there for tactical purpose (Oss and Cavagna) for the false flat if Buchmann or Alaphilippe wants to attack or need to be brought back after the climb.
That's because the breakaway has formed on the flat. It's hard for pure climbers to get away in terrain like that when guys with bigger engines also try to get there.A few odd choices for a MT finish though
Btw. I always appreciate stages to be broadcast from start to finish.
Yes, until the sprintIs there a tailwind for large parts of the day?
How is Yates still downplaying his focus on the GC? You don't send a team like Mitchelton-Scott to the TdF for just a couple of stage wins.