Gap to the break makes it very likely Vingegaard has Van Aert and/or Benoot on top of Spandelles.Tbh If Pog wants to win I think he should just send it over the top of the Aubisque. He has to attack at a point where Vingegaard doesn't expect it and isn't immediately on his wheel. It's very unlikely he can pull off a solo from here but I don't think he'll end this tour in yellow with conventional tactics.
That said, it's perfectly understandable if he doesn't attack so early.
He's already conceded the Tour de France here. The big attack never came.
This isn't Contador vs Rasmussen. This is Quintana vs Froome from the 2016 Vuelta. The attack from Froome never came.