Tour de France Tour de France 2022: Stage 6 (Binche – Longwy, 219.9k)

[Devil's Elbow]

Lots of people calling this for the breakaway but I'm kind of expecting BikeExchange to chase for Matthews, just like all those Vuelta stages last year. Especially because they need the points.

 

[Devil's Elbow]

Tour de France 2021?

Oops. Changed it now.

 

[ppanther92]

Roglic to lose more time, some Ineos guy to win the stage.

 

[Tonton]

After today, the GC guys will probably take a day off and meet again in Pinotland on Friday. Odds are good for the break tomorrow.

Bad luck or not bad luck, over or not over, Pog clearly is in the driver seat. He's too good, he's too strong, some would say that he's Armstrong. At some point JV will have to go for broke, attack, attack, attack, they have two irons in the fire. Or they will do what Geraint has already done: hire a sorcerer who will stick needles in a Pog doll. That may be their only hope.

 

[movingtarget]

Think the break can take this one.

 

[Sciatic]

Unfortunately, the puncheurs who we would normally expect to give us an exciting finish won't be in the mix: Ala not here, Van Aert gassed after the last two stages, Roglic hurt, and MVDP far below par (though he still might give it a go). Pogacar I think will be in energy-saving mode. If it does not go to the early break, who are the 2nd tier of puncheurs to fight it out? Bettiol, Pidcock, Senechal?

 

[yaco]

Lots of people calling this for the breakaway but I'm kind of expecting BikeExchange to chase for Matthews, just like all those Vuelta stages last year. Especially because they need the points.

Nah - Matthews will be in the break, especially seeing they could have won today's stage if they put a rider in the break.

 

[Pantani_lives]

All the typical uphill sprinters seem to be absent, too old or out of shape. So this might go to the early break. Possible candidates: Wellens, Cosnefroy, Sénéchal, Asgreen, Pedersen, Kristoff, Boasson Hagen, Geschke, Matthews, LL Sanchez, Bettiol and surprise surprise... Magnus Cort.

 

[Miha81]

I expect breakaway to take this one unless TJV starts setting up for VVA to attack at the end (highly unlikely after what we saw yesterday). Pogi will roll with it if necessary but won't attack on his own. Can Ineos shock us and finally put some fire into their racing? Probably not.

 

[Poursuivant]

Yates

 

[Velolover2]

Is Côte des Mazures enough for Cort to be in the break for the fifth time?

 

[Red Rick]

Could be chaos with tail/crosswind all day

 

[titan31]

I think this depends on how Jumbo feel. That last categorised climb is setup for them to do their attack like on stage 4. They could go for it there to setup WVA for the stage and maybe take some time on other GC guys.

 

[movingtarget]

Roglic would normally have loved this finish.

 

[King Of The Wolds]

More I think about this, the more I see the break taking it. Bettiol aside, who's going to chase it? I'm expecting a huge fight for the break, with everyone but Ineos, JV, UAE and Bora interested. Caveat - cross winds and all bets are off.

 

[MartinGT]

Stuyven FTW!

 

[tobydawq]

Maybe Bahrain would chase today for Teuns. Now that they lost Haig yesterday. I know they still have Caruso but is it really necessary to have all operations on hold because you have a rider who might go top 5?

 

[RedheadDane]

Is Côte des Mazures enough for Cort to be in the break for the fifth time?

Yesterday, a grand total of absolutely zero KoM points on offer was enough for him to be in the break...

 

[search]

Yesterday, a grand total of absolutely zero KoM points on offer was enough for him to be in the break...

he has to. It needs 15+ breakaways to beat a random Frenchman for super-combatif

 

[hayneplane]

Stuyven FTW!

Trek would be strongly advised to put him in the break with at least 1 teammate rather than trying to control from behind and bring it back later on. a top 5 favourite for the day given he clearly has excellent shape right now.

 

[Didinho]

Mathieu should try to get in the break today

 

[Earns1985]

It´s likely that the break will take this, so the first hour will be interesting to watch!

Because Roglic is hurt and Pogacar is much better in those finishes then Vingegaard it doesn´t make a lot of sense for Jumbo to chase the break GC wise. If they want to have the stage win, of course van Aert is an option, but GC wise it doens´t make sense to chase.. I also don´t think that UAE will chase today for Pogacar. Perhaps tomorrow they will do it..

 

[frisenfruitig]

Mathieu should try to get in the break today

With how he's performing I don't believe that will do him much good tbh unless he's in a break with chumps

 

[search]

Nah - Matthews will be in the break, especially seeing they could have won today's stage if they put a rider in the break.

Matthews is not a good breakaway rider, though. He also just said that he expects the new finish to be more selective, and better for him than last time (which wouldn't matter much if he is in the break, where he is quickest anyway). So I'd think they plan to work all day

 

[Valanga]

he has to. It needs 15+ breakaways to beat a random Frenchman for super-combatif

De Gendt tried that once (2017?). It won't be enough.