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- Jun 11, 2021
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Solid headwind tomorrow on Galibier as well as on most of the stage.
Like I wrote in the Pogacar thread, I feel this stage is heavily overrated because of the lack of steep gradients (and the expected headwind). However, given that Pog and Vingegaard basically managed to put 30 seconds into everyone bar Remco and Carapaz on a 5 minute climb there's still some solid hope that we get fireworks. I feel a lot will depend on how hard breakaway formation will be. The longer it takes for the break to form the harder the race will be because with gradients slowly ramping up, the impact of drafting becomes less for everyone just trying to chill in the peleton. If we get a nuclear first hour than we're probably in for a good show.
One thing is sure, if you're dropped of what I expect to be a stiff Yates tempo on Galibier and you have no teammates around you, you will lose big time in the headwind on your own. Could mean some top 10/5 GC hopes annihilated early in the Tour tomorrow.
Like I wrote in the Pogacar thread, I feel this stage is heavily overrated because of the lack of steep gradients (and the expected headwind). However, given that Pog and Vingegaard basically managed to put 30 seconds into everyone bar Remco and Carapaz on a 5 minute climb there's still some solid hope that we get fireworks. I feel a lot will depend on how hard breakaway formation will be. The longer it takes for the break to form the harder the race will be because with gradients slowly ramping up, the impact of drafting becomes less for everyone just trying to chill in the peleton. If we get a nuclear first hour than we're probably in for a good show.
One thing is sure, if you're dropped of what I expect to be a stiff Yates tempo on Galibier and you have no teammates around you, you will lose big time in the headwind on your own. Could mean some top 10/5 GC hopes annihilated early in the Tour tomorrow.
So will we see a UAE train with Ayuso, Almedia and Yates on Galibier before Pog attacks?
Or will it be Soler, Sivakov and Yates, with Ayuso and Almedia in the back, faking that they are about to be dropped.
Or will it be Soler, Sivakov and Yates, with Ayuso and Almedia in the back, faking that they are about to be dropped.
- Oct 30, 2023
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They mighta got dropped at the worst possible time, but they finished strong in the second group!So will we see a UAE train with Ayuso, Almedia and Yates on Galibier before Pog attacks?
Or will it be Soler, Sivakov and Yates, with Ayuso and Almedia in the back, faking that they are about to be dropped.
- Oct 1, 2014
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- Mar 20, 2022
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- Apr 16, 2009
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ManicJack
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- Apr 4, 2023
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Might open up for Pidcock or Bilbao to go nuts on the downhill.
I have no clue why they ride a bike. Someone will crash.
- Feb 18, 2015
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The headwind certainly makes things more tricky. But overall my guess is that whether we'll see big gaps almost solely depends on how much UAE wants it. If Pogacar wants to properly test Vingegaard before stage 11 or even the pyrenees they'll set a high enough tempo to attack. If that was their plan I don't think they will throw it out of the window due to headwind. That said, headwind would of course make that plan less likely to succeed.
- Jan 29, 2021
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There's no headwind with this field.
This is not the field of the Giro 2023 where there was headwind everyday.
- Jun 22, 2009
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ManicJack
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- Apr 4, 2023
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- Sep 11, 2016
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- Jul 7, 2013
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Last 7 km of Galibier will be sidewind on average. Headwind between 6 km to go and 4.5 km to go but between 4.5 km to go and 2.5 km probably more from tail/side (good place to attack). The last 4 switchbacks will be headwind and tailwind interchangeably.
Obviously Galibier N would be much better but cyclists have to take advantage of what's given to them. The only high mountain stage before stage 14 and the last mountain stage before stage 11. Yesterday was a short test by Teddy but tomorrow will be longer. Bring it on!
- Sep 11, 2016
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The wind in this thread is gonna be talked about more than Remco's weight in his thread.
ManicJack
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- Apr 4, 2023
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There is definitely a lot of wind in these threads.
- Mar 20, 2022
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Your information is reliable? If the answer is yes than Pogi has a chance!
- Jul 7, 2013
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NW wind in this area in the afternoon so it's easy to verify on google maps. Obviously in the mountains the wind speed/direction can be affected by local landscape, some places are more hidden and some are more exposed but, as I said, generally the ascent should be mixed (headwind only on part of it).
BTW it won't be very strong, likely 10-15 kph. It can be verified on 850 hPa and 700 hPa forecast maps (which roughly correspond to 1500-3000 m ASL)
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