Tour de France Tour de France 2025 Stage 19: Albertville-La Plagne (93.1k) ‚Historic day, magnificent racing‘ ~ Rob Hatch, probably

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Who will roll the dice?

  • Johannessen finds back to his earlier strength

    Votes: 0 0.0%

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    70
  • Poll closed .
Vingegaard cannot drop Pogacar, the only way he wins the stage is by wheelsucking Pogacar and attacking with 400m to go.

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Just a reminder that Pogacar is the one in yellow, there seems to be some confusion here on that point.
The only thing that can go wrong is with Pogacar's uphill effort super computer.. He thinks he has a number on @8%+ grade that he can close..has less than 6 now so he must think if go outside the limit for @3 k I can maintain mutant speed get stage, demoralize Vingegaard a little bit more..
 
Vingegaard either can't attack or won't attack. Surely he has to try something just to win the stage or is he banking on just reacting to Pogacar. But Pogacar might just sit back now as he doesn't really have to do anything. It's another UAE v Jumbo game of psychology.
 
His chances at what? Thought he wanted to risk everything to win the Tour. If he's planning on sitting on Pog's wheel so he can try to outsprint him at the end for the stage, then ok I guess.

Once they shortened the stage, the only path to wint the Tour for Vingegaard was Pogacar crashing.

Even if Pogacar was dropped early on La Plagne, he wouldn't drop 4 minutes, so no chances of winning the Tour. If he helps Pogacar chase Arensman, Pogacar stomps him towards the end and win another stage. At this point the only thing he can do is annoy Pogacar and hope he'll ride hard enough to catch Arensman.
 
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On the battle for 3rd, even if Onley doesn't crack Lipowitz today, it's not over.

Picnic has a good team for the stage tomorrow and could try a coup, especially if the gap ends up below 10 seconds today (10 seconds on the line tomorrow).
 
Vingegaard either can't attack or won't attack. Surely he has to try something just to win the stage or is he banking on just reacting to Pogacar. But Pogacar might just sit back now as he doesn't really have to do anything. It's another UAE v Jumbo game of psychology.
He will happily let Pogacar take all the wind until 200 metres to go - that is his best chance at outsprinting him.
 

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