greenedge said:
Uran/ Henao for the moment at least need time bonuses and little ITT kms' to place high in GT's ( the Giro top 20 was weak ) but at the TDF they might struggle to crack it.
I never said Uran / Henao would lead Sky at the TDF, but they will definately be the GC leaders for Sky at future Giros & Vueltas. They are also only 25 / 26 and younger than Porte, and have more upside in my opinion. Both will also improve their TTs over time, unless of course they suffer from Andy Schleck disease.
greenedge said:
Rogers will not be a GC leader again
I didn't say Rogers will be team leader at a grand tour, I said he will lead Sky at 1 week stage races. You are kidding yourself if you think he wont lead Sky at smaller races next year. Like he did this year at Tour Down Under (4th overall), Bayern-Rundfahrt (1st overall) and Criterium International (3rd overall). He also came 2nd overall in the Dauphine and 5th overall at Romandie (granted 1 spot behind Porte).
Rogers is a better bet then Porte to lead Sky at most one week or smaller races (provided he stays healthy like he has this year). Look at his record. 3 time world TT champion, has won the Tour of California, Tour Down Under, Vuelta a Andalucía, Tour de Belgium, Deutschland Tour, Route du Sud. He has also finished on the podium at Tour de Suisse and Volta a Catalunya. What has Porte won, other than Volta ao Algarve? Porte has also come 7th at the Giro, thanks to being in a breakaway. But Rogers has come 7th at the Giro too, plus 9th overall at the TDF.
Rogers is also only 4 months older than Wiggo, and younger than guys like Evans, Leipheimer, Horner, Kloden, Sanchez etc who are all still very successful at 1 week races.
greenedge said:
EBH will not be leading at stage races other than Eneco/ Norway where there are quite a few continental teams.
If Sky wanted to, EBH could lead the team for overall at any number of 1 week stage races, including Eneco, Norway, Tour Down Under, Tour of Beijing, Oman, Qatar. He could probably win all of these, plus others, if that is what they wanted EBH to do.
EBH has far more upside potential than Porte, particularly in 1 week stage races.
greenedge said:
Sky evidently see potential in Porte and he seems to be under the assumption that he will lead at a GT next year.
Undoubtedly Porte has potential, but next year he would be better off at almost any team other than Sky. Next year, with Alberto and Andy back, do you really think Sky will send both Wiggins and Froome to the TDF? If they split them, which they will almost certainly do, what GT would Porte be the leader at? TDF - nope, that will be Wiggo. Vuelta - nope, that will be Froome. Giro - nope that will almost certainly again be Uran and Henao.
There will also be very few opportunities to lead Sky at 1 week stage races next year, since in Wiggo, Froome, Rogers, Uran, Henao & EH, they have better options for almost all 1 week stage races on the calendar.
If Porte wants an opportunity to shine next year, he should seriously consider any offers he might get, from Saxo Bank Tinkoff or anyone else. Otherwise he'd better hope that Froome and / or Rogers get sick again...