UCI Road World Championships 21st-29th September 2019 - Yorkshire - Race Thread.

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Ignoring endurance and length of races, do some women have the w/kg to ride in the world tour? Van Vleuten did 5.8 for half an hour didn't she? And then this is better than some male world tour (or at least pro conti) riders in the u23 equivalent
It’s possible that longer races might actually suit women more; there’s a theory that women are physiologically evolved for long distance trekking, and it’s seen in results of ultra endurance races where the likes of Lael Wilcox can beat a field full of men.

Can we post gifs here?
View: https://m.imgur.com/4ZfflZe?r
 
****: Rohan Dennis
***: Victor Campenaerts, Primoz Roglic
**: Remco Evenepoel, Patrick Bevin, Kasper Asgreen
*: Alexey Lutsenko, Edoardo Affini, Jonathan Castroviejo, Tony Martin

This is what I'm going with for tomorrow. Quite a few still in there who can 'surprise'. Ganna for instance is a very intriguing rider now that he's back on his Pinarello with Team SkyNEOS, but he never practices long ITTs. What about Chad Haga?
 
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I have a hard time believing in Dennis. He didn't race in a long time and it would be pretty incredible for me if his antics at the Tour would translate into big motivation to train for the WC ITT if he indeed abandoned because of his TT material in the first place.
Also, if the conditions are similarly wet tomorrow, he will lose a lot of time in the technical sections (Don't know details about the course, though)
 
****: Rohan Dennis
***: Victor Campenaerts, Primoz Roglic
**: Remco Evenepoel, Patrick Bevin, Kasper Asgreen
*: Alexey Lutsenko, Edoardo Affini, Jonathan Castroviejo, Tony Martin

This is what I'm going with for tomorrow. Quite a few still in there who can 'surprise'. Ganna for instance is a very intriguing rider now that he's back on his Pinarello with Team SkyNEOS, but he never practices long ITTs. What about Chad Haga?
Very good list. Personally, I'd have Lampaert also on the list. I think the ITT suits him. Also I'm not sure about Castroviejo, it doesn't look he has the form. Maybe Van Baarle an Kangert, two lesser names who could surprise. They were strong in Tour of Britain.
 
The obvious question mark on Dennis' form aside, isn't he generally better on less technical routes, or do I have that wrong?

If he was in top shape, I'd point to Asgreen on this route, it's pretty much tailor made for him..... but his form is in question, after a very long and hard season for him.

I think it will be Evenepoel.

Campenaerts is a big questionmark as well, having not raced at all since June, but the route suits him.
 
It's hard to predict. Dennis is doubtful after the issues with his team, although he might still have prepared well individually. Roglic might be saturated after the Vuelta. Campenaerts might have problems on a wet, technical course. Evenepoel should be too young. Tony Martin is out of shape after his Vuelta crash. A surprise winner is not impossible.

****Roglic, Dennis
***Campenaerts, Evenepoel
**Haga, Asgreen, Durbridge, Lampaert
*Castroviejo, Bevin, Ganna, Küng, Martin, Oliveira
 
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It's hard to predict. Dennis is doubtful after the issues with his team, although he might still have prepared well individually. Roglic might be saturated after the Vuelta. Campenaerts might have problems on a wet, technical course. Evenepoel should be too young. Tony Martin is out of shape after his Vuelta crash. A surprise winner is not impossible.

****Roglic, Dennis
***Campenaerts, Evenepoel
**Haga, Asgreen, Durbridge, Lampaert
*Castroviejo, Bevin, Ganna, Küng, Martin, Oliveira

I think that argument has proven worthy of being flushed down the toilet in the last few months. Should be, maybe, but "should be" doesn't fit well with "is" when it comes to him.

In other news, I think Küng should be higher on the list. He hasn't had a good season TT wise by any means, but he has been good the last couple of weeks with a win in the Tour du Doubs and a TT win in the Okolovo Slovenska where he only finished third because of bad luck with bonus seconds.

I would also put Ganna higher and I wouldn't have Durbridge on my list.
 
It's a tougher and hillier TT than it looks. If Dumoulin were here then he would be my favourite but as it stands Roglic is. It's a route which very much does suit someone like Evenepoel though, with its constant slight rises and falls
 
****: Nobody
***: Campenaerts, Roglic, Dennis, Evenepoel
**: Bevin, Asgreen, Haga, Oliveira
*: Castroviejo, Martin, Ganna, Dowsett, Küng, Lampaert

I'm giving 4 stars to Mister Nobody. Because i think none of the 4 most expected names, have their stars aligned perfectly. Evenepoel never raced an ITT even remotely this long and the big question mark is his pacing. Dennis has had a craptastic ITT year so far. Maybe it's the bike, but i'm 100% certain the biggest problem is between his ears. In any case, i can't believe we'll see the same Dennis as the one of 2018. Roglic just raced the Vuelta and was about to be beaten by Campenaerts in the big Giro ITT, untill Campenaerts stunned the world with a bikechange from hell. And Campenaerts hasn't raced for 3 months either. I also think this will be too hard and too long for a young big guy like Affini, and i'm not putting too much stock in Lutsenko either against pure ITT'ers over this distance. These aren't the Asian Games.
 
Missed Owen's ride but warmed to her in the interview afterwards and have become a fan. She will give the Dutch something to think about in the road race on Saturday.

Today was exceptionally wet across large parts of England. Tomorrow there should be drizzle: the half-hearted, but still annoying rain which forms about 50% of British weather
 
Missed Owen's ride but warmed to her in the interview afterwards and have become a fan. She will give the Dutch something to think about in the road race on Saturday.

Today was exceptionally wet across large parts of England. Tomorrow there should be drizzle: the half-hearted, but still annoying rain which forms about 50% of British weather
Excluding puddles, I find drizzle more hazardous when it comes to cornering.
Hopefully, the surface is as grippy as reports are claiming.
 
****: Rohan Dennis
***: Victor Campenaerts, Primoz Roglic
**: Remco Evenepoel, Patrick Bevin, Kasper Asgreen
*: Alexey Lutsenko, Edoardo Affini, Jonathan Castroviejo, Tony Martin

This is what I'm going with for tomorrow. Quite a few still in there who can 'surprise'. Ganna for instance is a very intriguing rider now that he's back on his Pinarello with Team SkyNEOS, but he never practices long ITTs. What about Chad Haga?
I can't really go along with this. Dennis the favorite over the European champion and the guy who won every ITT he took part in this year while he hasn't raced in the past 10 weeks? Evenepoel at the same foot as Asgreen? No. One star for Martin and Lutsenko? I would give those to Dowsett, Lampaert, Ganna or Küng.
 
****: Nobody
***: Campenaerts, Roglic, Dennis, Evenepoel
**: Bevin, Asgreen, Haga, Oliveira
*: Castroviejo, Martin, Ganna, Dowsett, Küng, Lampaert

I'm giving 4 stars to Mister Nobody. Because i think none of the 4 most expected names, have their stars aligned perfectly. Evenepoel never raced an ITT even remotely this long and the big question mark is his pacing. Dennis has had a craptastic ITT year so far. Maybe it's the bike, but i'm 100% certain the biggest problem is between his ears. In any case, i can't believe we'll see the same Dennis as the one of 2018. Roglic just raced the Vuelta and was about to be beaten by Campenaerts in the big Giro ITT, untill Campenaerts stunned the world with a bikechange from hell. And Campenaerts hasn't raced for 3 months either. I also think this will be too hard and too long for a young big guy like Affini, and i'm not putting too much stock in Lutsenko either against pure ITT'ers over this distance. These aren't the Asian Games.
I like this prediction, but I'm usually wrong.