Long time lurker here. I'll admit that I am/was a huge Ullrich fan. I have some questions about the consistency of the RR picture of Ullrich. I think he is pretty much an unknown quantity, but I feel he'd have been a much better rider than say a Riis in a clear peloton.
First of all: how much of an indication is training camp climbing form? I mean Ullrich seems to have a body that gains weight easily (I sympathise), so getting 2-3 kgs of extra fat which isn't actually THAT hard to do during winter, especially if you are a tad bit indisciplined about eating compared to the other skinny dudes will make it REAL hard to keep up with others, or at least will require you to huff-puff. We know 2-3 kgs is generous in case of Ullrich.
I think people made a bigger deal of this whole body fat% deal than should have been. It's fairly easy to lose 4 kgs of weight a month so even 12 kgs aren't that big of a problem in january, if you want to prepare for July and don't really want to compete in climbing until then.
Second: off-season detraining. I'm a beginner cyclist so no first hand experience about this. Does off-season detraining hit everyone equally hard? Does "mile experience" or "engine size" or whatever make detraining hit you less hard? That could be another reason why some cyclists excel in training camps and early races (low body fat%, small detraining but smaller gains by training as well) and fade during the year.
Third: wattage. I think it'd be really interesting to estimate Ullrich's wattages through the years. I've read somewhere that he pushed 500 watts on Madeleine in 1998. I just checked the youtube video and he is absolutely freaking amazing on that climb. Not 2001 amazing (where he was probably the 2nd, 3rd best climber in the race), but still. I remember Pantani saying that it was like sitting behind a motor bike. He did this after a day where he was hit super hard by cold and starving, not really in top shape.
I've also read somewhere that he could go about 440-450 in the Pyrenees in 2003. Him being around 72kgs/ that's over the magical-natural '6' W/kgs, however quite far from the utterly ridiculous '7' he did on Madeleine. This seems quite in line with the 'no EPO' trends, however if he could push his hematocrit to ~50 with bbs, it's still pretty far off from 1997-1998.
So how do these stuff fit together? I think he was about 1-2 minutes slower on climbs in the 2000s than could have been on EPO in the 90s. What's even more interesting that Armstrong OTOH, who was on the very same **** on the 90s just exploded in the 00s. I don't really buy the 'he lost weight' thing, because he also lost power and he wasn't an excellent time trialist before his cancer. What the hell was going on with Armstrong? I mean Ullrich was a dope-junkie right? In the standardized doping era, he was head-and-shoulders above everyone else on a good day, Pantani being a comparable climber and noone was close being a TT-ist. What can we attribute Armstrong's ridiculous power improvements to?
If we take Tyler Hamilton's book as truth, then it seems that Ullrich still had a pretty monstrous race in 2004 where he 'only' came fourth and had a wrong BB.
Also, 1999. He was a beast in 1999 in the Vuelta, but nowhere near as beasty as before. He was regularly beaten on climbs and fought really hard (and got lucky with Olano screwing stuff up) to get the title. I believe he was cleanly (not clean) in the 1999 Vuelta.
Ullrich is a really interesting character in the new doping era, because unlike Armstrong he had serious swings in parameters like weight, form, wattage, climbing ability and style, and also has a reported history of screwed up BBs and stuff like that.
What I want to get on that I somewhat agree with RR, but I think there are a lot of contrasting stuff that just don't simply fit the scenario.
Since Ulle's weight is known to be 72-74 kgs in races, it should be pretty easy to get some power calculations for him.