Muriel said:
I've a question, and be gentle with me here, I "pounded" a few last night

so my brain cells aren't quite lined up...
If the UCI signed up to the WADA code in 2004, can any potential USADA sanction pre-date that? I'm stuck in a 'contract agreement' argument that would suggest that different 'terms and conditions' would have applied at that time.
As the analysis cited by Python notes, this is probably the tougher of the two approaches LA is using--tougher for USADA to get around. The problem of how USADA sanctions a rider for acts occurring before UCI signed on to USADA--indeed, in some cases, before USADA existed--has been discussed here before. The analyst seems to think arguing through the Stevens Act is very tenuous, but does not explain why. The other argument, that the violations were part of ongoing behavior extending all the way to 2012, may also be problematic.
But here's the thing the analyst seemed to overlook. IF some of LA's violations occurred when UCI was signed on to WADA/USADA--and one of the UCI licenses attached to Pat's recent letter to Bock specifically stated this--then USADA ought to be able to make the argument that LA can be sanctioned at least for recent activity. Then it is up to the arbitration panel to determine if the argument can be extended further back in time. IOW, the fact that USADA had jurisdiction in some years ought to be enough to open the door to the regular procedure, with the understanding that the panel--not some federal court--will rule on the validity of the arguments extending the violations back in time. Same should apply to the SOL argument. USADA is on shaky ground here, too, but the point is it should be up to the panel to decide that, not a federal court.
IMO, USADA holds the tiebreaker wrt Sparks' opinion. If he finds the arguments on both sides close and hard to decide on one way or another, I would think he would prefer to let the normal procedures sort it out, rather than some court. I think he will only rule in favor of LA if he finds LA/UCI arguments about jurisdiction a slam dunk. In that case, it would be proper for a court to intervene and tell USADA they had clearly overstepped the rules as clearly written in the codes. But I don't see a UCI slam dunk here.
I agree that he will almost certainly rule today, especially if against LA, as he has to give LA time to make his next move (though I'm sure he has already planned what he will do in that event).OTOH, we know Sparks has a sense of humor, so he might delay the announcement till Tuesday.