I was thinking of this earlier. Jasper has had a great season. MvDP is just as expected. But then again the results don't quite tell the whole story for MvDP, he did a great job as a lead out man for Jasper at the tour. I suppose they felt a leadout man shouldn't win. Jokes aside, he can feel very hard done by.
Roglic, Jonas, Pogacar, are going to be on everyones list. Which leaves 2 from 3, Jasper, MvDP, Remco. World champs aside, MvDP had a quiet second half of the season results wise & did fewer race days than the others. I can see how someone might pick the other two.