Gigs_98 said:
the sceptic said:
Froome and Quintana will lose time on the cobbles for sure. Not sure about Contador, but he will probably have a bad day somewhere in the 3rd week.
Also, Astana will boss the TTT and have the strongest mountain train.
I think everyone says astana has such a strong team, only because of this years giro. The point is that astana wasn't incredibly strong, I think that the other teams were pretty weak. Astana definitely has a strong team but it isn't that much better than the other big gc teams
I agree. Tinkov and Sky were very ordinary in the Giro but still the climbers they had in the Giro are stronger than the Tour team. This team has been based more around the TTT and other teams have done the same. On the final climb it's usually every man for himself anyway so they strengthen the TTT side of things instead. Scarponi is pretty hit and miss these days. With the top four being pretty evenly matched on paper, Nibali is probably hoping to make gains in the TTT and maybe the cobbled stage while Sky have not been doing very good TTTs of late. and Froome can't afford to lose much time on the cobbled stage and many see it as a difficult stage for him. TJVG might also make time in the TTT as the BMC squad looks pretty strong. Pinot and Contador could also lose time in the TTT. Movistar seem to have a pretty strong squad for Quintana.
I think Nibali would be more than happy with the opening stage result in reference to his rivals. It may not be much but it all counts especially if no one rider dominates in the mountains. I think bonuses are going to be very important this year as the race is expected to be close unlike the last Giro and previous Tour. But for the top four riders none of them have a good sprint so it does not really advantage any one of them but they will be
hoping to drop Rodriguez and Valverde as they are the obvious riders to pick up bonuses if they can hang on. But I think both of those riders will be found out on the most difficult stages. Breakaways will probably also play a part in the time bonus situation and some of the second tier GC riders might get a bit more daring than usual.