Volta a Catalunya, 23-29 March 2026

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Feb 7, 2026
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Solid victory for Vingegaard today. The pace in the first half of the climb was very slow, so the total w/kg today are not that impressive. But not everything has to be looked through a w/kg lens. He already won Paris Nice and is well on his way to win the next one week race.

This would be a great spring and if you see the level of the competition, it is hard to see a future where he does not win the Giro. (I watched E3 afterwards and Pidcock seems to have vanished from the face of the earth??)

Jonas Vingegaard | 81 (+4): 6.13 W/kg for 38:25 on Coll de Pall (Catalunya 2026 Stage 5)
 
Sep 5, 2016
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Pidcock seems to be DNF?

Probably makes Montjuic very winnable for Evenepoel
Thom wasn't terrific today, Amnesia sub par, Soler burned himself, Carapaz couldn't, Martinez rolled along.. Ciccone good showing.. No 100k winds. Landa looks like he has been nibbling pizza pretty frequently..
Remco might ride his binary self, either on or off, nothing in between..
 
Mar 12, 2010
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Jonas looks really good. In regards Giro, realistically if he stays upright he looks class apart. Obviously the Tour will have a Pog presumably in top shape so will be a different matter. Hoping for a closer Tour than recent years in any event, but difficult to judge competitiveness vs Pog at the Tour against what he’s doing this Spring.
 
Feb 20, 2012
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Solid victory for Vingegaard today. The pace in the first half of the climb was very slow, so the total w/kg today are not that impressive. But not everything has to be looked through a w/kg lens. He already won Paris Nice and is well on his way to win the next one week race.

This would be a great spring and if you see the level of the competition, it is hard to see a future where he does not win the Giro. (I watched E3 afterwards and Pidcock seems to have vanished from the face of the earth??)

Jonas Vingegaard | 81 (+4): 6.13 W/kg for 38:25 on Coll de Pall (Catalunya 2026 Stage 5)
The gaps are very similar to the very similar stage to Porte Aine that Pogacar won in 2024, and arguably against stronger opposition.

Gaps are smaller than Valmenier 1800 last year, but that stage had completely cuckoo gaps.
 
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Jul 7, 2013
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The gaps are very similar to the very similar stage to Porte Aine that Pogacar won in 2024, and arguably against stronger opposition.

Gaps are smaller than Valmenier 1800 last year, but that stage had completely cuckoo gaps.

Pogacar had a gap of 1'23'' on Vallter2000 but the weather was cold there.
 
Feb 7, 2026
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The gaps are very similar to the very similar stage to Porte Aine that Pogacar won in 2024, and arguably against stronger opposition.

Gaps are smaller than Valmenier 1800 last year, but that stage had completely cuckoo gaps.
As I posted in another thread, Vingegaard seems to have a similar level to Pogacar in Catalunya 2024 (and himself in Tirreno 2024).

If I just analyzed his attack, the Index might even be a bit higher. But Pogacar in Catalunya 2024 was not yet close to the Pogacar from the 2024 Tour onwards.


(Aine was Pogacar's worst performance that race (79), tomorrow we have the same stage as in 24 so the comparison will be easier.)
 
Jul 7, 2013
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As I posted in another thread, Vingegaard seems to have a similar level to Pogacar in Catalunya 2024 (and himself in Tirreno 2024).

If I just analyzed his attack, the Index might even be a bit higher. But Pogacar in Catalunya 2024 was not yet close to the Pogacar from the 2024 Tour onwards.


(Aine was Pogacar's worst performance that race (79), tomorrow we have the same stage as in 24 so the comparison will be easier.)

That's true, Pogacar in Catalunya (and even in the Giro) was a weakling compared to the Tour.
Obviously Vingegaard has a lot of time but he'll need to perform this kind of leap (or larger) as well.
Anyway, I'd like to see how Pogacar performs in a stage race this year to have some data points (I am not doubting he's at the peak of his powers though).
 
Oct 3, 2021
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Feb 20, 2012
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