Yeah, he would have won it last year if not for the crash. He lost 1 minute to Asgreen in the ITT, maybe half of it due to the crash, and only grabbed a few seconds to Rodrigues - who is not a good ITT'er. Worth to say that there wasn't much competition last year, with Hayter and Asgreen being the two clear favourites, Rodriguez was there but even younger, and Rodrigues, well, Portugal can really be a parallel universe when it gets to cycling.
To be honest, the only guy that I can see challenging Remco this year is Hayter, but he might not be in top form yet (I think he had Covid during the winter break), but he will need to make up time in the Malhao climb. He can ITT (he only lost about 40s to Remco in last year's 43km WCC ITT), but unless he gives a big jump in performance, he will always from loose 30s upwards to Remco.
Last year in the ITT after the crash: