The Hitch said:
Cauberg aint that steep. On Muur hes been beaten by Gilbert once, when Gilbert was on the form on his life. Last year he owned Gilbert there.
Besides, what is the gradient of Muur?
You cant seriously use Vuelta 10 as an argument. Purito had done just about every race but the Giro leading up to the September and was on peak for all of them. He was not on top form, and was very impressive to come 4th and do so well in so many stages.
When he was in far better shape -he kept up with Contador with ease on Mende while everyone else was grinding away.
Finnestre has an average gradient of 9.7, again not the steepest but Purito seemed pretty good on that despite being ill.
We will see over the coming weeks i guess. Of course J Rod is a rider that has never really performed when expected to and outperformed expectations when overlooked, so I wont be surprised if he gets beaten by Tony Martin on Valdepenas Jaen then wins a sprint somewhere.
Mur is 9.5% gradient with steepest parts up to 20%(and 26% in one bend) where he couldn't drop Gilbert, Gilbert was sitting in third position most of the climb while Jrod was behind him struggling. Last year in FW he got beaten by Cadel Evans as well.
Don't worry, I wasn't talking about Cauberg. That's a hill(Mur de Huy as well, but at least it's steep.).
In this year's Vuelta he might be the best, but there's no Contador, Cadel Evans or Gilbert here.
Contador won twice already on Mende and finished second once at the Tour. But I doubt Jrod would have been able to follow on his initial acceleration as Jrod anticipated on Contador's move by attacking earlier on the climb(like Rujano at the Etna for example). And they didn't use the full Mende climb at the Tour and they finished on a flatter part if I remember correctly. At Paris-Nice, Contador destroyed Purito on Mende.
Actually there are many examples of Jrod getting beaten on these short steep climbs or long steep climbs. I'd say Contador in top shape is the best on pretty much every type of mountain(not hills) finish, especially in a Grand Tour where recuperation plays a big role.
In top shape, I think Contador can handle Jrod on finishes like Mur de Huy. And Gilbert certainly can.