A GC sprint small group seems the likely outcome. The composition of the break will be interesting..
Edit - add - You know what we have not had yet at the Vuelta, which would really show that the race has begun? A good protest like in the WC in Scotland -
https://velo.outsideonline.com/road...-tack-attack-mars-second-grand-tour-in-spain/
"Local police confirmed that they detained four people Saturday who police say were planning to disrupt Monday’s third stage that starts in Súria north of Barcelona and ends in Andorra, the nearby Pyrénéan principality.
One Catalan separatist group already vowed to disrupt the Vuelta, and another group called “Alert Solidària” criticized the detentions, calling the race a “Vuelta colonista,” a colonial Vuelta, adding that the Spanish grand tour “reflects national and social oppression,” according to the Spanish wire service
EFE."