Vuelta a España Vuelta a España 2025, Stage 18: Valladolid - Valladolid (12.2k)

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Barring a spectacular collapse, 12.2k of TT and a 3.3k garage ramp are not enough to lose 50 seconds. Vingegaard's odds of winning the GC are like 95% now.
Whilst I generally agreed with you in thinking that GC is nearly bagged for Vingegaard, there's more than a 5% chance for Almeida to get it. If he has good legs he can take 10 seconds or a bit more on Vingegaard - especially if he's slightly ill. Almeida could be looking at needing 20-30 seconds + bonus on Bola del Mondo which is within the realms of possible. Unlike, but entirely possible.
 
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