For the top-5? Sure, maybe even top-3 and a stage win. Lots of opportunities. But I simply can't see him challenge for the win, I don't think his ceiling is that high. Zakarin can, Chaves likewise and obviously Nibali. I think those 3 riders have shown that their top-level can be high enough to win the Vuelta. And then my personal joker and and a rider I think can win if everything falls into place and he doesnt crash: M.A. Lopez. We haven't seen enough, but incredibly high ceiling and we just never know. Could be pulling a Quintana in 2013 TdF-performance for all that I know, he is just that talented.Blanco said:Pozzo might be dangerous too...
If he feels fresh then he will obviously have decent to good shot, but thats my point. I necessarily don't think he is super fresh after a normal Contador-year with hard spring + TdF, but we don't have any reference on that really given he has never done it.Red Rick said:Lesser riders than Contador have managed, and if he feels fresh then I'm sure he'll be very good.
Valv.Piti said:For the top-5? Sure, maybe even top-3 and a stage win. Lots of opportunities. But I simply can't see him challenge for the win, I don't think his ceiling is that high. Zakarin can, Chaves likewise and obviously Nibali. I think those 3 riders have shown that their top-level can be high enough to win the Vuelta. And then my personal joker and and a rider I think can win if everything falls into place and he doesnt crash: M.A. Lopez. We haven't seen enough, but incredibly high ceiling and we just never know. Could be pulling a Quintana in 2013 TdF-performance for all that I know, he is just that talented.Blanco said:Pozzo might be dangerous too...
Then the TdF-guys like Aru, Bardet and Contador, I don't really know. Contador has never tried this, but has obviously done the Giro-Tour which is a tad harder. With decent results everything considering. But I don't think he will be in it to win it, neither do I think Bardet. Aru could potentially be a wildcard given he hasn't raced much, but I think Bardet and Contador are pretty spent.
Leinster said:Apart from Landa, of course.Red Rick said:Yeah, the shitters are in there obviously, but Pontives is the only situation I can think of for the rest. Zakarin was really the best climber in the last few days of the Giro.
I'm thinking mainly of the stage 18 to St Ullrich, but 19 is another example, where Zakarin attacked with Pozzovivo and Pinot, while Dumoulin, Quintana and Nibali cat-and-moused over who would chase them down. If Zakarin was seen as a threat, he would not have been allowed escape and would have been drawn into the c&m with the podium 3.
Very plausible. Arcas, Soler, Carapaz and Fernandez have been confirmed for La Vuelta by Unzue afaik. Dani Moreno and Barbero are pretty much a gimme. Just needs one more addition. Betancur perhaps, but I think there are some more likely options, such as Winner, Nelson Oliveira, Sutherland.capuldemetal said:can movistar team look smth like this?
Vuelta a Burgos @VueltaABurgos 6h6 hours ago
More
Nuevos equipos preinscritos, @Movistar_Team
Jorge Arcas
C Barbero
A. Carapaz
H.Carretero
R. Fernández
Dani Moreno
Pedrero
Marc Soler
Riders expected to do the Tour-Vuelta double (Betancur, Erviti, maybe Sütterlin) won't do any race in between. Non-climbers doing the Vuelta after resting during the Tour (Rojas?, Sutherland?) may be sent to any other race in the team calendar to get some racing miles: Poland, BinckBank (former ENECO) or Tour de l'Ain.capuldemetal said:can movistar team look smth like this?
Vuelta a Burgos @VueltaABurgos 6h6 hours ago
More
Nuevos equipos preinscritos, @Movistar_Team
Jorge Arcas
C Barbero
A. Carapaz
H.Carretero
R. Fernández
Dani Moreno
Pedrero
Marc Soler
Surprised by Arcas, I would have thought he simply wasn't good enough (same with Pedrero, altho he was actually very good in Tour de Suisse on the climbs) I would like Carretero to ride it, but maybe he is too young. Thats the most talented out of those 3 domestiques IMO, but its still pretty early.DNP-Old said:Very plausible. Arcas, Soler, Carapaz and Fernandez have been confirmed for La Vuelta by Unzue afaik. Dani Moreno and Barbero are pretty much a gimme. Just needs one more addition. Betancur perhaps, but I think there are some more likely options, such as Winner, Nelson Oliveira, Sutherland.capuldemetal said:can movistar team look smth like this?
Vuelta a Burgos @VueltaABurgos 6h6 hours ago
More
Nuevos equipos preinscritos, @Movistar_Team
Jorge Arcas
C Barbero
A. Carapaz
H.Carretero
R. Fernández
Dani Moreno
Pedrero
Marc Soler
Red Rick said:Man, looking at the Giro, I really think Zakarin is as dangerous as Nibali. Zakarin lost the Giro with 1'15" to Dumoulin, he lost 1'50" to Dumoulin on Blockhaus.
yaco said:Apparently Spilak is ending his GT exile in the Vuelta.
yaco said:Apparently Spilak is ending his GT exile in the Vuelta.
markene2 said:Zaka to win barring accidents/crashes
Also, hope Betancur rides the Vuelta, and he maintains some form.