Wed time trial

[Christian]

Porte will win this, mark my words....

 

[Gloin22]

Hmm, how so? He's mainly a time trialist.

Not really this year

 

[johncono]

Sorry Afrank, I'm new to the forum if this was put in the wrong category I apologies, I'm a simple cyclist who raced for more years then not, a doer not a taker, a hunter not a gatherer. If it can't be analyzed or categorized in less then a second you lose me at the first sentence.

 

[Gubby Allen]

What do you think the top 10 for the stage will look like? Costa and Velits in there?

1 Martin
2 Froome
3

You never know with these. Chavanel, Tuft, Westra even Martin could all go flat out for it and be top 5, or all not give a toss and take it easy. Same with Kessiakoff had he still been there - he'll either come 1st, 2nd or 30th.

I'd fancy Martin and Chavanel would both be top 3 though and ahead of any GC contender.

Will Porte and TJVG have a go, are they in the shape to? Is Thomas fit enough to go well?

There's a lot of guesswork picking the right riders for the fantasy team with this stage. I do think JRod may surprise a few though and not lose much time on the others around him, if any.

 

[Bakhjulet]

Think Porte might go full gas in this time trial but not the next one. Couple of easier stages after this time trial, no real tough domestique duties for Porte until sunday. Next ITT on the other hand is followed by 3 hard mountain stages.

Edit: Guess I was right about Wednesday at least. Porte:

Personally, with GC done and dusted now I'd like to have a good time trial, just for the morale. I've got a new position on my time trial bike so I really want to test that out.

 

[Bakhjulet]

EBH did a strong ITT in Dauphine, but I guess he will have to save his energy for domestique duties.

 

[Pulpstar]

Martin:
Froome + 30
Contador + 90
Purito +150

Rest I'm not sure, sorry

 

[TheBean]

I think this time trial will effectively end the fight for first place at the tour.

Froome will either win or finish second just a bit behind Martin and put over a minute,minute and a half into his rivals.

Contador will disappoint yet again imo.

A distinct possibility, but I hope you are incorrect.

With Sky falling apart and leaving Froome alone on Stage 8, it looked possible for something exciting to happen. But, either the rest of the front group was completely gassed or they just didn't know how to capitalize on the opportunity at hand.

If something remotely similar happens in the Alps, I anticipate the attacks will be more determined than Quintana's series of four surges. It seemed Quintana was testing Froome more than challenging him, while Valverde kept a watchful eye.

I have no real favorite in this race and am just hoping the rest of the race is as axciting as the first part has been.

As for the winner of the TT, Chavanel has been great through the first week and seems determined for a stage win. The TT might be his best shot if he has agreed to give himself fully to Cavendish's bid to keep tallying up sprint victories, though green jersey hopes are all but gone.

 

[auscyclefan94]

Top 10 GC after TT

Froome
Kreuziger
Contador
Valverde
Mollema
Ten Dam
Costa
Fuglsang
Peraud
Quintana

 

[saneguy]

Expect Quintana to be good on this stage. He hasnt done too badly this year in TTs

Pais Vasco - only 17sec down to Tony Martin and Paris - Nice 27 sec down to Porte. Not too bad. Plus this is a slightly lumpy ITT so it should suit him.

 

[auscyclefan94]

Expect Quintana to be good on this stage. He hasnt done too badly this year in TTs

Pais Vasco - only 17sec down to Tony Martin and Paris - Nice 27 sec down to Porte. Not too bad. Plus this is a slightly lumpy ITT so it should suit him.

It isn't lumpy. The profile exaggerates the 'lumps' in it. I would also add that it is much later in the year against much better competition than in March.

 

[sprenten]

No need for the Sky guys to post slow time trial times in the Mont St. Michael ITT by conserving. They likely won't have to work hard this week in the Tour. They will likely fire every arrow they can to win the ITT stage depending on Martin's time. This stage is probably going to have some head and cross winds affect the times, advantage to the bigger climber/TT types which is not an advantage for Porte. I really like Martin or Chavanel to win this, Michael K, Krueziger, and Froome will be top 10 guys in the ITT looking at their current fitness. This is not a course suited to Quintana as he will lose 30-60 seconds to Froome.

 

[theyoungest]

Expect Quintana to be good on this stage. He hasnt done too badly this year in TTs

Pais Vasco - only 17sec down to Tony Martin and Paris - Nice 27 sec down to Porte. Not too bad. Plus this is a slightly lumpy ITT so it should suit him.

Those were climbing time trials. A long flat TT won't be too kind on Quintana.

 

[del1962]

Top 5

Tony Martin
Rohan Dennis
Chris Froome
Michal Kwiatkowski
Micheal Rogers (if he is not taking it easy)

Outside bets for top ten in TT Cameron Meyer, Svein Tuft, Rein Taarame and Jack Bauer

 

[pastronef]

Top 5

Tony Martin
Rohan Dennis
Chris Froome
Michal Kwiatkowski
Micheal Rogers (if he is not taking it easy)

Outside bets for top ten in TT Cameron Meyer, Svein Tuft, Rein Taarame and Jack Bauer

he left the tour on Sunday

 

[saneguy]

It isn't lumpy. The profile exaggerates the 'lumps' in it. I would also add that it is much later in the year against much better competition than in March.

Yup competition is far superior.

Those were climbing time trials. A long flat TT won't be too kind on Quintana.

I guess the second TT should suit him better then?

 

[del1962]

he left the tour on Sunday

Misssed that in all the melee, what happened to him

 

[LaFlorecita]

Current top 10 will finish

1 Froome (+0'14" on Martin the german version))
2 Costa +0'46"
3 Kreuziger +1'02"
4 Valverde +1'17"
5 Mollema +1'33"
6 Contador +1'52"
7 Quintana +1'58"
8 Ten Dam +2'07"
9 Martin +2'15"
10 Rodriguez +2'28"

I think.

A massacre it will be, I just hope this won't be another stage win for Froome. There are plenty mtf left + the second itt so he'll get a nice amount of stage wins anyway.

 

[Pulpstar]

Contador is going to get a mechanical. Calling it now.

 

[EnacheV]

I think Froom will give 110% for this TT. Next week is calm and flat, has time to rest with the peleton, he knows his team is pants, he needs as much he can gets for the next mountains.

 

[murali]

froome might be able to put time on other gc contenders, but he wont be able to win this stage. The profile has tony martin written all over it. also, he didnt do much work in stage 10's last few km. his part was done by Garmin guys for OPQS.

most of the national ITT winners are part of the tour. froome may not end up in top 3 too.

Porte is out of question in top 3. he seemed too tired today. lost abt 100sec

 

[Dazed and Confused]

froome might be able to put time on other gc contenders, but he wont be able to win this stage. The profile has tony martin written all over it. also, he didnt do much work in stage 10's last few km. his part was done by Garmin guys for OPQS.

most of the national ITT winners are part of the tour. froome may not end up in top 3 too.

Porte is out of question in top 3. he seemed too tired today. lost abt 100sec

Why would that be an indication of tiredness? Porte has been dropped from the GC top, there are no reason to hang around the front with sprinters going for the line.

There a more powerful people in the Sky team who can guide Froome around at the bizz end on a flat stage besides Porte.

Porte getting out of the way on these types of stages is a solid tactic to avoid getting involved in a crash.

 

[Cookster15]

Porte is out of question in top 3. he seemed too tired today. lost abt 100sec

Agree with D&C, there is absolutely no reason for Porte to waste energy in the ITT now that he's so far back on GC. He needs to save his bickies for the Mountains when he and Froome can go full *** again on Ventoux.

 

[Dazed and Confused]

Agree with D&C, there is absolutely no reason for Porte to waste energy in the ITT now that he's so far back on GC. He needs to save his bickies for the Mountains when he and Froome can go full *** again on Ventoux.

Another 1-2 on Ventoux with Porte winning the stage as a gift from Froome?
I doubt it, but everything is possible.

 

[pedaling squares]

If this is suppose to be the official thread for stage 11 then you should know it's too early for it, the title is wrong for a stage thread, and usually your suppose to put the profile and map in the OP (and the GC as well for the TT would be good, since it's a GC day).

Anyways, Froome will probably take it. I would say Martin before his crash. He didn't do too bad in the TTT though, so maybe he could end up winning it. I would prefer to see him take the stage.

The guy has 4 posts and you're telling him how he's "suppose" to create a thread? Why not just add the fancy bits you like to see and give him a break?

Martin FTW, Froome to put a strangle hold on the GC.