chiocciolis_calves said:
Escarabajo said:
Libertine Seguros said:
Gerdemann, Löfkvist, Velits, Goss and EBH all have something in common in their early career: HTC-Columbia. Even Cavendish isn't producing at his HTC level.
From that group I'll take Velits only.
EBH has been more about pumping hot air more than anything else. I don't remember him ever being world class. He was good stage hunter but not world class.
I'll add Andy Schleck. Probably one of the biggest ones.
Popovych. I thought everybody was saying he was the next big thing back in the days.
Popovych is a fine choice. Ernesto Colnago was hyping him as the next Merckx. He did look like a top prospect who could TT and climb, circa 2003/2004. Then he got 12th, I believe, plus a stage win as a Lance domestique in the Tour.
He was also 3rd in the 2003 Giro and wore the maglia rosa in 2004 with another top 10.
However, Popo is also one of the absolute easiest to point at what happened to him. Volodymyr Bileka was his running buddy early in his career; he was a talented junior and contemporary of Popo (a year older or so) who also turned pro with Landbouwkrediet at the same time; he rode most of the same races as Popo but never progressed beyond a dom as a pro, and moved with him to Discovery Channel in 2005, then to Lotto in 2008.
Popo's 2008 season started well, especially in Paris-Nice, but rather fell apart as the year went on. Coincidentally (or not), Bileka got busted for EPO in May. Popovych was weak for the rest of 2008, only to be a strong domestique again (albeit not at the level he was 2005-7) when reunited with Bruyneel in 2009. Popo had an injury-ridden 2010 season, then in 2011 the Landis stuff and the computer raids happened, and since then he's been a nobody.
It looks an awful lot like Popo was an obvious charger early in his career, but as a result there wasn't that much room for improvement as a pro; he was successful early on but the next step was perhaps too risky. His running buddy getting busted in 2008 scared him off the program or at least made him scale his program back, but returning to a situation he felt comfortable with (and probably had protection in given what we now know) with Bruyneel rejuvenated him to some extent. Since the Landis allegations and his computer being confiscated, however, he's probably been in the position where he's got an agreed contract but is no longer motivated to take the risk.