Although Team Lux would have a lot of his mates in it I wonder whether the current lack of sponsor announcement would put him off and the lack of guarentee they would be Pro Tour
BMC certainly have the cash, but would he fit into their current rostrum well? I think so, but he may also be waiting to see if they get Pro Tour status, which I would be surprised if they didn't. Personally I reckon he will end up here over Team Lux
I appreciate that people are saying HTC are out of the question, but they have space and the cash and are pretty much guarenteed a pro tour spot, as other have said he would pretty much get to ride the spring season of his choice without conflicting with Mark Cavendish (who has said in interviews he would like to give some of the other classics a go and ride for someone else for a change). All HTC would ask for in return would be the TdF and to work for Cavendish, how would this differ from going to Team Lux, where he would work for the Schlecks or BMC where he would work for Cadel?
I really can't see him going to Pegasus just too many uncertainties at present with them.
My vote therefor is out of the current front runners is BMC; but wouldn't be surprised if he ends up somewhere like HTC.