Zinoviev Letter said:That all depends on the breakaway, doesn't it? Breakaways have done quite well so far.
Although presumably there will be other teams motivated to work at the front even though Liquigas will be content to let the breakaway off into the distance. The fact that everyone as far back as ninth will think that a podium place is conceivable will probably mean that teams like Katusha, Saxobank and Cervelo will want to keep the bonus seconds in play. Ag2r will be less worried about the bonus points but may want to keep the pace high to tire out some of the smaller climbers on the flat. That's a lot of potential allies of convenience for Xacobeo.
Yes; I don't think a breakaway will take this. (And even if they do, I think Mosquera can quite possibly take forty seconds from Nibali. From what I've seen, the pictures someone posted, the climb looks terrifying, and Nibali is just not climbing like the very best.)