Who Will Win the 2015 Vuelta a Espana?

[BeagRigh]

As is traditional on the 1st rest day, lets have a poll:

The GC after Stage 10
NED 1 DUMOULIN, Tom (GIANT - ALPECIN) 38:34:56
ESP 2 RODRIGUEZ OLIVER, Joaquim (KATUSHA) + 57
COL 3 CHAVES RUBIO, Johan Esteban (ORICA GreenEDGE) + 59
IRL 4 ROCHE, Nicolas (SKY) + 1:07
ITA 5 ARU, Fabio (ASTANA) + 1:13
ESP 6 VALVERDE BELMONTE, Alejandro (MOVISTAR) + 1:17
COL 7 QUINTANA ROJAS, Nairo Alexander (MOVISTAR)
GBR 8 FROOME, Christopher (SKY) + 1:18
POL 9 MAJKA, Rafal (TINKOFF - SAXO) + 1:47
ITA 10 POZZOVIVO, Domenico (AG2R LA MONDIALE) + 1:52
ESP 11 NIEVE ITURALDE, Mikel (SKY) + 2:17
RSA 12 MEINTJES, Louis (MTN - QHUBEKA) + 2:25
ESP 13 MORENO FERNANDEZ, Daniel (KATUSHA) + 2:26
ITA 14 BRAMBILLA, Gianluca (ETIXX - QUICK STEP) + 3:46
ESP 15 SANCHEZ GONZALEZ, Samuel (BMC RACING) + 4:04
BEL 16 DE CLERCQ, Bart (LOTTO SOUDAL) + 4:28
POR 17 CARDOSO, Andre Fernando S. Martins (CANNONDALE - GARMIN) + 4:43
FRA 18 SICARD, Romain (EUROPCAR) + 4:47
ESP 19 NAVARRO GARCIA, Daniel (COFIDIS, SOLUTIONS CREDITS) + 5:07
FRA 20 JEANDESBOZ, Fabrice (EUROPCAR) + 5:26

 

[jens_attacks]

fabio aru will win this bike race.

 

[BeagRigh]

A reminder of the key GC stages remaining:

Stage 11

Stage 14

Stage 15

Stage 16

Stage 17 - ITT

Stage 18

Stage 20

 

[BeagRigh]

Poll should now be working....

 

[SafeBet]

I'm going with Majka.

 

[LaFlorecita]

Re:

I'm going with Majka.

Aru or Majka IMO.

 

[darwin553]

Froome. He left some juice in the tank at the TdF by only winning by a minute when he could have easily won by 3.

 

[Brullnux]

Quintana, he's never too good on short, steep climbs and did pretty well on stage 9, so he's looking pretty good. Also Aru, but the cold weather is not good news for him.

 

[Arredondo]

Quintana or Froome.

 

[Carols]

I voted for Aru but I actually think Froome will win. I just can't bring myself to vote for him ABF is fine with me!

 

[BeagRigh]

I voted for Quintana but I think tomorrow if key for him. If he doesn't take time then he will struggle...

 

[GoGarmin]

I have no idea. But I think it's great that we're 10 stages in and still have seven or eight legitimate contenders. Should be a wild ride.

 

[SeriousSam]

It's good practice to carefully distinguish between what you want to happen and what you think is the most likely outcome. My answers are Tom and Chris.

 

[Gigs_98]

I have really no idea. This is extremely open

 

[PremierAndrew]

I have really no idea. This is extremely open

This. I'm sure at least one of the big contenders will completely blow up.

 

[barmaher]

I think all of the Top 10 have a chance, apart from Tom Dumoulin.

 

[Gigs_98]

I have really no idea. This is extremely open

This. I'm sure at least one of the big contenders will completely blow up.

Yep, its simply impossible to say how a race will be before the first really really difficult mountain stage. Ofc we already had some hard stages and at least 4 uphill finishes (2 of them even 1st category) but the only long mtf was raced extremely easy and short steep uphill finishes don't mean that much. We are basically almost in the same situation like after the first week of the tour, just this time we have the feeling we know much more because some stages were raced harder.

 

[bala v]

Joaquim "Purito" Rodriguez

 

[KyoGrey]

Froome to receive his prize after being loyal to the Vuelta since 2011 (4 attempts in 5 years).

 

[Cance > TheRest]

Cannot see Froome winning it, after his display on the 7th stage. One thing is sprinting up short climbs in the first week of a GT, another thing is surviving the 3rd week with a Tour in his legs.
Quintana should be better in the 3rd week, while Aru is looking very strong. Majka looks good too, and should do better than most other GC contenders in the ITT (except Piti and Froome). He's got a decent time gap to close, though.
1. Aru (Heart and mind tells me)
2. Quintana
3. Majka
4. Piti
5. JRod
6. Froooooooome

 

[jsem94]

I went with Vino option because I have no clue at this point.

 

[markene2]

Tom will of course win it.

 

[jaylew]

I had no idea before the start of the Vuelta and I still have no idea.

 

[Son of Amsterhammer]

Gosh darn, it's tough, but I can't look past Quintana yet. Not with so many mountains yet to come.

 

[Miburo]

I hope dumoulin wins, it would be hilarious.

Aru is the one who i think will win though.