Who will win the Green Jersey?

[laurentiu46]

That's right. Steegmans out,Napolitano in.
Man,Danilo finished runner-up 10 times this season. Pretty frustrating,i should say...
Still,Katusha also have Pozzato for sprints,and don't forget Nikolay Trusov,he surprised the big Thor last month in a Catalunya stage and stole him the glory.
Hmm...who's their main horsepower then?

 

[flyor64]

I think Columbia will do everything they can to get Cav over the mountains and into the jersey rolling into Paris. Do they have a legitimate GC threat? Top 10 with Rogers maybe? So a green jersey goes extremely well with the team's impressive record this year.

Boonen has said he hasn't been in the best mental form of late...that may actually play out to be an issue down the stretch, if he gets the invite.

My heart's with Hushovd though...if Cervelo's train is working right he's a threat.

Regardless, all the heavyweights going for it makes for a great TdF this year.

 

[Bala Verde]

...

With Haussler they could steal valuable points away from other GY competitors. For example, if Hsvhd comes in first and Haussler can maintain his speed, sprinting to second or third, he effectively bars others from picking up those points and come closer in the GY classification. Haussler could also do well in escapes, win intermediate sprints and stay competitive for Green himself.

 

[Turd Ferguson]

I think it will be Haussler or Thor. They have an advantage in that Haussler can potentially snatch some of the intermediate sprints in the hillier stages, and Thor concentrating on the finish sprints.

As I write this I am now getting confused. Haussler will probably be helping Sastre in the mountains, at the least on the approach and lower slopes, and maybe up high too.

Well, I am still picking Haussler - hope he got some rest since the spring as it looks like he will be working hard for both Thor and Sastre.

 

[cyclingworld]

May the Best win Always!!


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[auscyclefan94]

green this july will between Oscar & Thor with Oscar coming out on front. Cavendish will not be able to keep up in the tougher sprints after a few stages!

 

[karlboss]

Cavendish is better in the hills this year, even if he is out of cotention i think his DS will have convinced him to ride through to a high placing...and he is quicker than everyone else with a stronger team=green jersey.

 

[Frosty]

Maybe part of the key is to look at how many stages Cav wont make it to the finish and Freire will do?

Stages 8 and 9 in the Pyrenees are interesting. Traditionally you would expect the Gc guys to push it hard going up the climbs with even the better climbers like Freire finishing way back. However, the long run-in to the finish will make it hard to sustain an attack so maybe there will be quite a large group reaching the finish line. In this case Freire could make the finish and get points even if a breakaway takes the big points.

Stages 13 and 19 look like stages where Freire should finish with the front runners although the other sprinters may struggle. Of course one thing counting against Freire here is that he has to push hard on every day while Cav can have a relative day off. This should mean that Freire suffers more later in the second and third weeks and so finish lower down on days where there is a bunch sprint.

I think it will be a close run thing with several changes of hands but that Cav will just win it.

 

[595RED]

The Viking!

 

[uphillstruggle]

The mountain stages are a little more tame this year; Ventoux aside. So I would say Cav has a good chance of finishing the tour but I would say Boonen if he's allowed to race.

 

[phillop]

freire will have to take points on the difficult stages to win this, although i think he could very well do it. he must be one of the favourites on the stage 6, and in stages 8 and 9 i think rabobank must make sure only a small break goes away, that way there will be as much points as possible for the bunch to fight for, who knows stage 9 might even finish in a bunch sprint, or friere could go in the break, but i dont think the other sprinters teams would allow that. There will be alot of stages where there could be a bunch sprint but should be a fairly selective bunch left, should be alot of changes in the lead. Freire "should" come out of the pyrenees in green(or at least best placed of the contenders for to win the green jersy overall) , will cav or hushovd be fresh enough to take it back off him later in the tour? maybe farrar or pozzato

 

[auscyclefan94]

freire will have to take points on the difficult stages to win this, although i think he could very well do it. he must be one of the favourites on the stage 6, and in stages 8 and 9 i think rabobank must make sure only a small break goes away, that way there will be as much points as possible for the bunch to fight for, who knows stage 9 might even finish in a bunch sprint, or friere could go in the break, but i dont think the other sprinters teams would allow that. There will be alot of stages where there could be a bunch sprint but should be a fairly selective bunch left, should be alot of changes in the lead. Freire "should" come out of the pyrenees in green(or at least best placed of the contenders for to win the green jersy overall) , will cav or hushovd be fresh enough to take it back off him later in the tour? maybe farrar or pozzato

after the pyrenees will be descisive because if cav can be not too tired then he's near a certainty for green. friere is ever consistent but how will he beat him. if friere can get a high placing at the barcelona stage where it is likely cav will get dropped then he might be a chance as he won't lose too many points to cav in other stages as he is ever consistent.

 

[Jasper]

FrEIre.


It's Oscar FrEIre.


Not FrIEre.



Where does this confusion come from?

 

[BigBoat]

The Viking!

Yeah... I like Thor to win.

 

[flyor64]

FrEIre.


It's Oscar FrEIre.


Not FrIEre.



Where does this confusion come from?

I before E except after C

But the question is do they have that little rule/jingle in Australia?

 

[auscyclefan94]

Jasper is a sad case

FrEIre.


It's Oscar FrEIre.


Not FrIEre.



Where does this confusion come from?

does it really matter. get a life if you are going to comment on those things. people know who i am talking about

 

[flyor64]

does it really matter. get a life if you are going to comment on those things. people know who i am talking about

Hopefully not me. Mine was meant as a humorous response...

No dig at anyone in particular

 

[Jasper]

does it really matter.

Yes it does.


As Bala Verde already mentioned, it seems so unreal that someone (generally speaking here, no personal attack on your behalf) who is an avid follower of cycling can't spell the name of a three time world champion, multiple classics winner and green jersey defender correctly. It's not even a difficult name to spell anyway. You have to admit, it does make you (generally speaking again) look a bit stupid and undermines your credibility. Heck, imagine me talking about Lance Armstring in here, I'd be corrected in no time.

 

[auscyclefan94]

Yes it does.


As Bala Verde already mentioned, it seems so unreal that someone (generally speaking here, no personal attack on your behalf) who is an avid follower of cycling can't spell the name of a three time world champion, multiple classics winner and green jersey defender correctly. It's not even a difficult name to spell anyway. You have to admit, it does make you (generally speaking again) look a bit stupid and undermines your credibility. Heck, imagine me talking about Lance Armstring in here, I'd be corrected in no time.

i'll keep that in mind

 

[Bala Verde]

I am glad you guys settled this peacefully! I got a little scared when I skimmed through other threads... Think WWIII raised to the 7th power.

 

[subzro]

Boonen all the way

 

[Jasper]

He sure looks good to contest for green. A few nasty uphill sprints where he's supposedly better than Cavendish, vindictive feelings towards ASO and the desire to show them off, the belgian champions jersey around his shoulders, and quite a strong team around him. With Rosseler in great shape, he has one of the most powerfull leadout men in the peloton in his service, and there's also De Jongh and Tosatto. Next to Columbia, one of the strongest leadout trains in the Tour I say

 

[595RED]

Was I the only one to pick this right. What were you guys thinking. Go The Viking!!