Ventoux Fondue
So the scenario for tomorrow looks like it's shaping up. A lot in this Stage is going to depend on how the Break sets up. Big Break because it's effectively the last stage, obviously rare for the Ventoux, but also a big venue like the Alpe. The break should be comprised of:
-some teams that have a GC rider up there (someone to bridge to, or someone to come back and help, plus drops any reason to chase too hard and burn their team on the approach.
-teams with no results in this Tour (a chance to win on Ventoux will rescue a team's dismal results, Ventoux is the last chance because it looks like Cav can sprint from the tunnel in Paris and still win after today)
-maybe some one-off riders from teams looking for one more big bang
That would mean break candidates consisting of:
-Definately a climber from Silence (I think Cadel gives it a try maybe Matt Lloyd)
-Sastre from Cervelo? (he and Evans finished in the second group today, easy over the Cat 2 - saving it getting ready, showed he can't attack the leaders, but the break yes)
-Maybe a Garate or Menchov (has to be banged up tho) from Rabo (salvage for these guys)
-Maybe Zabriske from Garmin (copying Bryuneel's approach with these)
-The entire Euskatel team
, well maybe someone or two
-An FdJ guy(s) flyin the flag
-Maybe a Caisse guy (a french bank)
-Moncoutier
-Maybe Lampre climber (Ballan gave it a go today)
-Voeckler? (going for a repeat of RV years back, one more publicity go)
-Definitely like Chavanel plus another QS guy (total panic on that team like Silence)
-Felliu or Moreau from Agritubel
-Like someone like Linus from Milram maybe
-Definately a Skil guy (will want to fly the colors one more time in the biggest stage)
-Oh ya AND from Astana, definitely Zubeldia OR Paulinho (Popo was in the break but finished 9 min back, these other two were 17 back - free wheeling, getting ready), the spanish speakers because the bridge/help is for AC first priority
Nobody up front notables:
No Saxo - missing 2 key guys, 2 guys top 5, need to stay together
Liquigas - with K and Nibali up there > sticking together
Columbia resting for the Champs
That could be a big group (always depends on who makes it), where you have only Rast, Muravyev, Sparticus, O'Grady, David Millar, maybe someone from Liquigas, those guys keeping it close enough but no more sacrifices beyond that. So the break gets out there and up the climb a bit before the favorites hit it.
So you got guys strung out all over the mountain as the favorites ascend, and one trying to stay away like Virenque did, but this time AC will fly by the end (not Lance) and we'll see if he catches the last guy or just misses.
Between Lance, Frank, Kloden, Wiggo, Vdv, Nibali and even Andy it will just end up being a cage death match soup, again with it stringing out all over, favorites, old break riders maybe still up high, like someone opened the monkey cage at the zoo, guys everywhere, pairing up, blood all over the road, Phil screaming "he needs that wheel", Paul talking about peoples' faces of pain,
it'll be great and mean absolutely nothing in the end, but great bike racing.
I can't wait.
Prediction: only carnage.