World Politics

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Dec 7, 2010
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CheckMyPecs said:
If Russian companies default on their foreign loans, they're going to be locked out of Western capital markets for a long time.

Before you say "they'll simply borrow from Russian banks instead", ask yourself why they didn't do it in the first place.
Are they out of ink and paper in Russia?
 
Mar 13, 2009
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CheckMyPecs said:
Glenn_Wilson said:
Are they out of ink and paper in Russia?
With inflation already running at 9.7%, no smart person would go down that route.
No smart person would have wasted 50 billion on a 2 week sports spectacle either.

It has been a long time since any political leader, Russian or otherwise, can be qualified as a "smart person".
 
Jul 4, 2009
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....love playing fun with numbers....

....here are some interesting numbers, from the Debt to GDP department....the US of A , the uhh, gold standard of exceptional financial thingeeness has one that is around 95% ( which btw is within spitting distance of the D/G number that Greece enjoyed just before it went kablooee )....whereas that generally acknowledged financial basket case, Russia, has D/G of around 18%....

...now, and this comes from someone who has occasionally had trouble balancing a bank book, it seems that someone has their financial house in fairly good order and the other don't....so could youse experts please help me figure out what ones is which...

Cheers
 
Jul 4, 2009
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frenchfry said:
CheckMyPecs said:
Glenn_Wilson said:
Are they out of ink and paper in Russia?
With inflation already running at 9.7%, no smart person would go down that route.
No smart person would have wasted 50 billion on a 2 week sports spectacle either.

It has been a long time since any political leader, Russian or otherwise, can be qualified as a "smart person".

...yeah and running two ultimately useless wars that will end up costing 4 trillion dollars is sheer financial genius right ?...and how about having a military budget that is what as big as the next 10 military budgets, that there is brilliant ?...or having a medical system which has an administrative cost greater than said military budget, more smart thinking ?...or how about defining a bank system that came within a whisker of vapourizing the entire world's financial system, ooooh , more smart stuff right ?

...and like what is 50 billion these days anyway ?...two F35 fighter planes maybe ?....

Cheers
 
Mar 13, 2009
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blutto said:
frenchfry said:
CheckMyPecs said:
Glenn_Wilson said:
Are they out of ink and paper in Russia?
With inflation already running at 9.7%, no smart person would go down that route.
No smart person would have wasted 50 billion on a 2 week sports spectacle either.

It has been a long time since any political leader, Russian or otherwise, can be qualified as a "smart person".

...yeah and running two ultimately useless wars that will end up costing 4 trillion dollars is sheer financial genius right ?...and how about having a military budget that is what as big as the next 10 military budgets, that there is brilliant ?...or having a medical system which has an administrative cost greater than said military budget, more smart thinking ?...or how about defining a bank system that came within a whisker of vapourizing the entire world's financial system, ooooh , more smart stuff right ?

...and like what is 50 billion these days anyway ?...two F35 fighter planes maybe ?....

Cheers
Whoa! I thought it was clear that I have a very low opinion of all or our current "leaders". In no way was I suggesting that Russian stupidity was worse than the American version.
 
Mar 14, 2016
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blutto said:
...yeah and running two ultimately useless wars that will end up costing 4 trillion dollars is sheer financial genius right ?...and how about having a military budget that is what as big as the next 10 military budgets, that there is brilliant ?...or having a medical system which has an administrative cost greater than said military budget, more smart thinking ?...or how about defining a bank system that came within a whisker of vapourizing the entire world's financial system, ooooh , more smart stuff right ?

...and like what is 50 billion these days anyway ?...two F35 fighter planes maybe ?....

Cheers
Ah, so the Russian people should forgive Putin's incompetence just because there are incompetent leaders elsewhere?
 
Jul 4, 2009
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Merckx index said:
Here’s a balanced view of GMO, echoing an ironic disconnect that has long upset me. Many on the left have a view of GMO that is a lot like the view of climate change by many on the right: they dismiss a large body of solid scientific evidence, in favor of the view that it’s a plot by large institutions to control our behavior. When people ignore the science on GMO, they lose their credibility when arguing that science supports climate change. If your view on climate change is based on science, not on ideology, than your view of GMO should be as well.

In 2013, British environmentalist and author Mark Lynas became one of the first to publicly admit his anti-GMO stance had become “intellectually incompetent and dishonest,” while U.S. TV personality and science educator Bill Nye (the Science Guy) last year revisited his cautious outlook on GMOs after visiting Monsanto’s St. Louis labs.

There is now a long list of national bodies that suggest approved GMOs are no riskier to eat than conventionally produced food. In addition to regulators, they include: the U.S. National Academy of Sciences, the American Medical Association, the Royal Society of Medicine, the World Health Organization and the European Commission (even though more than a dozen European countries want to ban GM crops). Moreover, a 2015 Pew Research Center survey of scientists who belong to the American Association for the Advancement of Science found that 88 per cent believe it is safe to eat GM foods, compared to just 37 per cent of the public at large. That’s slightly higher (one percentage point) than the number of scientists who believed climate change was “mostly due to human activity.” Given that just about everything we eat, from apricots to zucchini, has been genetically modified though selective breeding practices, astrophysicist and TV personality Neil deGrasse Tyson summed up the feelings of many within the scientific community when, two years ago, he suggested anti-GMO activists should just “chill out.”

As I’ve emphasized here before, there are legitimate criticisms to be made of GMO, including pesticide contamination of foods (which, however, is a potential health hazard of most agribusiness, not just that involving GMO), some of the heavy-handed economic practices by Monsanto (like patents that require farmers to buy the seed every year, rather than collecting it from their crops, as traditional farmers have always done), and possible environmental effects of new genetic combinations in nature (and also the spread of GM seeds to farms that advertise themselves as organic). But again, the comparison with climate change is apt. Just as there are legitimate environmental and economic criticisms to be made of GMO, there are also legitimate economic criticisms of reducing the carbon footprint. The way forward is not to ban all GMO, any more than it is to ignore the effects of fossil fuels.

Andreas Boecker, an associate professor at the University of Guelph’s department of food, agricultural and resource economics, argues that the sooner Canadians realize GMOs are neither a magical cure nor a pox on humanity, the better. “It would be a big mistake to ban a technology for more or less ideological reasons,” he says. “Where the debate has to go to be productive is to look at risk management.” He likens GM food to automobiles in this respect, noting thousands die in traffic accidents but we continue to drive because the benefits outweigh the drawbacks. The one difference with GM foods, Boecker says, is each one is unique, meaning “we have to look at every single product case-by-case.”

http://www.macleans.ca/society/science/in-praise-of-genetically-modified-foods/

....University of Guelph a.k.a. in these parts as Monsanto U....and btw Macleans is sort of Faux Snooze Lite with just a thin patina of leftishness to as not to embarrass the natives...

Whyte, who previously edited Saturday Night and the National Post, brought a right wing focus to the magazine, bringing in conservative columnist Mark Steyn, hiring Andrew Coyne away from the Post, and rehiring Barbara Amiel. He also added a comedy feature by former Liberal Party strategist Scott Feschuk, and a column by Andrew Potter, who previously wrote for left leaning periodicals
.

.....hardly things one should use to backstop a point... I mean anything carrying Mark Steyn requires a full Hazmat disposal protocol using a stunt double....

Cheers
 
Jul 4, 2009
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CheckMyPecs said:
blutto said:
...yeah and running two ultimately useless wars that will end up costing 4 trillion dollars is sheer financial genius right ?...and how about having a military budget that is what as big as the next 10 military budgets, that there is brilliant ?...or having a medical system which has an administrative cost greater than said military budget, more smart thinking ?...or how about defining a bank system that came within a whisker of vapourizing the entire world's financial system, ooooh , more smart stuff right ?

...and like what is 50 billion these days anyway ?...two F35 fighter planes maybe ?....

Cheers
Ah, so the Russian people should forgive Putin's incompetence just because there are incompetent leaders elsewhere?

...whatever...

Cheers
 
Jul 4, 2009
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frenchfry said:
blutto said:
frenchfry said:
CheckMyPecs said:
Glenn_Wilson said:
Are they out of ink and paper in Russia?
With inflation already running at 9.7%, no smart person would go down that route.
No smart person would have wasted 50 billion on a 2 week sports spectacle either.

It has been a long time since any political leader, Russian or otherwise, can be qualified as a "smart person".

...yeah and running two ultimately useless wars that will end up costing 4 trillion dollars is sheer financial genius right ?...and how about having a military budget that is what as big as the next 10 military budgets, that there is brilliant ?...or having a medical system which has an administrative cost greater than said military budget, more smart thinking ?...or how about defining a bank system that came within a whisker of vapourizing the entire world's financial system, ooooh , more smart stuff right ?

...and like what is 50 billion these days anyway ?...two F35 fighter planes maybe ?....

Cheers
Whoa! I thought it was clear that I have a very low opinion of all or our current "leaders". In no way was I suggesting that Russian stupidity was worse than the American version.

...stand corrected...

Cheers
 
Jun 7, 2010
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blutto said:
....love playing fun with numbers....

....here are some interesting numbers, from the Debt to GDP department....the US of A , the uhh, gold standard of exceptional financial thingeeness has one that is around 95% ( which btw is within spitting distance of the D/G number that Greece enjoyed just before it went kablooee )....whereas that generally acknowledged financial basket case, Russia, has D/G of around 18%....

...now, and this comes from someone who has occasionally had trouble balancing a bank book, it seems that someone has their financial house in fairly good order and the other don't....so could youse experts please help me figure out what ones is which...

Cheers

Bah. I was writing a long reply, but got logged out.

To keep it short, debt to GDP ratio doesn't tell

1. Debt maturity

2. Interest rates

So a better indicator would be debt service costs.

For USA they would be somewhere in the region of 1.3% of GDP and for Russia about 9%.
 
Jun 14, 2010
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Race Radio said:
Please, lets keep politics out of here. It will bring out people that make Arbiter/BPC/Wonderlance look normal.

Looks like Race Radio predicted that echoes would post here.
 
Jul 4, 2009
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CheckMyPecs said:
Blutto is clearly playing the Whataboutism card.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Whataboutism

...yup as clear as the day is long...though some wiseacres could possibly go old school and probably be mumbling something about calling out rank hypocrisy or something or other about glass houses but Whataboutism is just some much more slicker-like eh...and being Capitalized and all, has this 1984ish gravitas that gives it a patina not unlike a condition/syndrome/affliction like Restless-Leg-Syndrome that would have the added benefit to probably warrant the development of a new class of drug or radical intervention leading to re-education and so on and so forth...

Cheers
 
Jul 4, 2009
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roundabout said:
blutto said:
....love playing fun with numbers....

....here are some interesting numbers, from the Debt to GDP department....the US of A , the uhh, gold standard of exceptional financial thingeeness has one that is around 95% ( which btw is within spitting distance of the D/G number that Greece enjoyed just before it went kablooee )....whereas that generally acknowledged financial basket case, Russia, has D/G of around 18%....

...now, and this comes from someone who has occasionally had trouble balancing a bank book, it seems that someone has their financial house in fairly good order and the other don't....so could youse experts please help me figure out what ones is which...

Cheers

Bah. I was writing a long reply, but got logged out.

To keep it short, debt to GDP ratio doesn't tell

1. Debt maturity

2. Interest rates

So a better indicator would be debt service costs.

For USA they would be somewhere in the region of 1.3% of GDP and for Russia about 9%.

...thanks for the illumination...and as long as you are around could you lead me thru the following...there are just too many numbers...and numbers make my head spin...read this is somewhat confusing...

Government debt not a worry

Only around $38 billion of Russia's government debt is denominated in dollars, and of that amount only around $6 billion of interest and principal payments are due in 2015, compared with around $400 billion of foreign-exchange reserves, Wells Fargo noted. With around two-thirds of government debt borrowed in rubles, the central bank can theoretically create enough rubles to pay off those creditors, the bank said
....and...

On January 26, 2016, debt held by the public was $13.62 trillion or about 75% of the previous 12 months of GDP.[5][6][7][8] Intragovernmental holdings stood at $5.34 trillion, giving a combined total gross national debt of $18.96 trillion or about 104% of the previous 12 months of GDP.[7] $6.2 trillion or approximately 47% of the debt held by the public was owned by foreign investors, the largest of which were the People's Republic of China and Japan at about $1.3 trillion each for the two countries as of November 2015.[9]
Cheers
 
Sep 25, 2009
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i am not an economist nor a financial pro, but will dare to say that while the us and russian economies have their own significant ills, comparing them on an apple-to-apple basis can lead astray.

the main difference in how 2 countries approach and plan their finances i see in the ability to borrow, both in the private and gov't sectors.

russia is under the sanctions and is being squeezed by the collapsed of oil/natural gas prices. so, they must run a tighter ship - reduce expenditures, raise budget deficit, improve economic efficiency or all of the above... that's what they are actually doing... clearly their domestic borrowing while the inflation (and correspondingly, interest rates) run at 10%+ is far inferior (more expensive) to borrowing from the western banks where inflation is 3 to 4 times lower. since many western banks wont lend due to sanctions, russian business look out to other lenders (china) or to their govt (to either supply rubles or raise capital by selling foreign currency they have plenty of in the reserve and sovereign funds). so the russian debt (both absolute and relative to the gdp or the state budget) is rising, but is nowhere near as ugly-looking as in the us. but neither can vlad print rubles with the same irresponsibility the the federal reserve can print $$ b/c unlike the world reserve currency - no one needs his rubles...

another big push they have been trying to implement is the so called 'import substitution'. that is, replacing wherever possible and as fast as possible imported goods and services with the domestic ones. of course, this is supposed to stimulate the economy, but depending on who one reads, the results are so far between mixed to not much, except the agree culture where they seem to have done well.

so, if we forgo the undue comparisons with the us economy, where do they stand economically ?

what i have been able to glean from various sources, is that they aren't as bad as the skeptics in the west want us to believe and they sure aren't doing as well as their state propaganda says. the economy while it seem to have bottomed, ain't growing either. neither this year, nor likely in 2017.. the inflation is definitely coming down to have likely settled at 7-8% by the year end. the unemployment is stable at around 5-6%.
the state currency reserves are still plentiful to patch over any budget holes for at least few more years. the banking system according to most western sources is healthy and improving as they let the weak institutions fail.
they don't seem able or are too slow to diversify from the primarily oil-based economy into a multi-layered one.
although, i understand the proportion of the oil-related revenue in the state budget had been sliding.

it would be fair to characterize the russian economy as 3d world if not for such peculiarities as very well developed industries in space, nuclear, defense, metallurgy...and still well educated populace.
 
Mar 20, 2009
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DrewPowell said:
Why we talk world politics in a cycling forum?
welll... it has an impact on cycling too. my greatest fear is now that RVV will be cancelled later this month. Reason for that now exists.
 
Sep 25, 2009
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...things look pretty bad in brussels. per the euronews latest count 22 dead and over 50 injured in the terror attacks.

:mad:
 
May 14, 2010
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python said:
...things look pretty bad in brussels. per the euronews latest count 22 dead and over 50 injured in the terror attacks.

:mad:

The number dead now at 26 and expected to rise. This whole thing is depressing as hell. Brussels is in total lockdown, no public transport running, the airport shut, Eurostar train not running, museums closed, hundreds of soldiers on their way into the city, people told to stay where they are.
 
Nov 8, 2012
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Maxiton said:
python said:
...things look pretty bad in brussels. per the euronews latest count 22 dead and over 50 injured in the terror attacks.

:mad:

The number dead now at 26 and expected to rise. This whole thing is depressing as hell. Brussels is in total lockdown, no public transport running, the airport shut, Eurostar train not running, museums closed, hundreds of soldiers on their way into the city, people told to stay where they are.

34 now reported deceased. Flemish friends are saying the airport bomber detonated at the American Airlines check in desk.
 
May 14, 2010
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Scott SoCal said:
Maxiton said:
python said:
...things look pretty bad in brussels. per the euronews latest count 22 dead and over 50 injured in the terror attacks.

:mad:

The number dead now at 26 and expected to rise. This whole thing is depressing as hell. Brussels is in total lockdown, no public transport running, the airport shut, Eurostar train not running, museums closed, hundreds of soldiers on their way into the city, people told to stay where they are.

34 now reported deceased. Flemish friends are saying the airport bomber detonated at the American Airlines check in desk.

It's crazy. It looks like the bomber on the metro detonated inside a crowded train. Now they're saying some of the people involved in these attacks may still be at large. A few days ago authorities discovered a huge weapons cache in an apartment in Brussels. Apparently they were planning an attack like the one in Paris. Investigators are saying some of these guys are in Belgium direct from combat in Syria.
 
Mar 14, 2016
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Martin said:
welll... it has an impact on cycling too. my greatest fear is now that RVV will be cancelled later this month. Reason for that now exists.
I'm as big a cycling fan as the next guy, but the possibility of a bike race being cancelled is pretty unimportant compared with what happened in Brussels today.
 
May 14, 2010
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It's just been reported that one of the two nuclear power plants in Belgium has been evacuated.

Now they're saying the evacuation report is wrong. :rolleyes: So never mind.
 
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