- Sep 25, 2009
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it is 2 different things to exit the eu and the euro(zone).Echoes said:The thing is legally it's impossible to exit the euro. No article in any Euro treaty allows for that. The only way out is art. 50 of the TFEU but that means exiting the EU.
while it is correct that the eu exit is formally very difficult, almost impossible, leaving the euro (or being expelled) is as easy as the european central bank deciding to stop supplying the liquidity. such a decision by the ecb would be quite dramatic but this is what isabout to happen come monday...i still believe the politicians will find a way to postpone the decision, but the grexit imo is now quite likely eventually...the plebiscite in greece announced yesterday is understood by most observers as the cover up for the huge political decision that has apparently been made.
i would not characterize the greek position as 'dictating the terms'...stubborn, ideological, a tad unimaginative...yes, but the diktat, if the word has a place here, was rather coming from the other side. the demands for cutting the public spending in the very specific areas by by specific amounts was coming from the 'troika'. actually greece has offered 2 compromises, the last just days ago, which were deceptively greeted as promising and then flatly rejected is 'not good enough'. as far as i know, and i have been following the crisis closely, the were no alternate plans for a compromise coming from the ecb or the imf..at least, they were not made public..movingtarget said:l.Harm said:It seems the IMF and other creditors want to get rid of the Syriza government
What made them think they could dictate the terms ? The are the ones asking for help.
is greece responsible for its own problems ? certainly, but the unprecedented harsh stance of the eu/ecb/imf re. another rescue package is more than just the greeks faulting on payments. as i already wrote, it is a very political affair imo when the euro establishment is sending a message to a political economic thinking ( 'extreme left' ) they consider nonnegotiable. as rhubroma noted, the extreme right seems comfortable in not receiving a similar message.
i do however think that the the us dominated imf is a minor player here. as such, i view it both positively and negatively...positively, b/c europe is showing more and more its independence of the us currency dominated world. negatively, b/c a true economic sovereignty is impossible without a real sovereignty in foreign amd military affairs.
which europe is very far from.
