114th Il Lombardia (1.UWT) // 15th of August 2020







I'll spruce up the post later, just wanted to start the topic to post the news that 12km has been cut from the course. No hills/mountains were cut, but the total length is "only" 231km anymore



2019's top 20:
2018's Top 20:
Current 30 best competitors according to PCS:
 
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Everyone will be glued to Evenepoel's wheel.

I think he will open up the race early and attack on the slopes of Sormano before the actual Muro. I don't think he can drop Woods and Fuglsang types on the steepest part.
 
Most likely scenario for me is some really good climbers kick clear on the Muro Di Sormano and leaving Nibali and Evenepoel to tempo up and limit the gap that Nibali closes with a typical daredevil descent and Remco closes on the early part of the valley road then goes straight to the front and slowly strangles what is left of the lead bunch before leaving them gasping for air 5 kms from the foot of Civiglo signing off on a 25km solo to glory.
 
I don't think anyone will be able to follow REMCO on the Sormano. Winning margin will be less than 2 minutes though since the chasing group will have a couple of demestiques left to keep it below 30 s before Civiglio. But since Remco doesn't slow down it won't matter.

Hoping for a good fight for second.
 
You've never watched Sormano?!
I'm huge on the spring classics and the Giro, but generally quite done with cycling after the Tour. Football season starts, fall swells start pumping in the north Pacific, I've got other stuff going on. Cycling season is really long. I've never watched Lombardia. Only recently started watching Vuelta stages more than the odd mountain stage.
 
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Wow. And I thought I was the one hyping him too much.

I think he can win.

But to go so far as to say he will...

It may depend somewhat on how focused everyone is on marking him. If that has already begun, then it will be a first time at dealing with that. Whether he can deal with it as Merckx did by getting on the front and wearing people off his wheel... he has certainly done that, but in his first ever monument, that would be...well!

depends on the teams as well.
 
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Wouldn´t be suprised if Remco attacks and for whatever reason no one decides to follow or chase him again. I thought that riders and teams had learned their lesson but the Tour of Poland showed that they still haven´t.
Prediciton: On the flat part prior to the Civiglio he attacks out of a reduced group of 15 riders. Leaders are watching each other. No one chases. He gets 20s and they never see him again.
 
Wouldn´t be suprised if Remco attacks and for whatever reason no one decides to follow or chase him again. I thought that riders and teams had learned their lesson but the Tour of Poland showed that they still haven´t.
Prediciton: On the flat part prior to the Civiglio he attacks out of a reduced group of 15 riders. Leaders are watching each other. No one chases. He gets 20s and they never see him again.
Sometimes in a race you are just to tired to follow. It’s not always a calculation. Everyone knows who Remco is, they aren’t forgetting to mark him.
 

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