2013 Tour de France, stage 17: Embrun / Chorges 32 km (ITT)

[murali]

After inserting data of 40 riders it seems (time first TT x 1,4) is average.

Most GC men will like this TT so (time first TT x 1,35) is likely for guys like Contador, Kreuziger, and so on.

Hivert and Kittel did x 1,31 = best so far.

For the GC contenders:

Froome x 1,3 ==> 47:25; x 1,35 49:20; x 1,4 51:12, so 49-49:30 is to be expected. 51 would be very bad.
Contador and Mollema: 50ish would be great based on the first TT, 52 not so much.
Ten Dam will do 52-53 based on form.
Quintana: 51:30? Maybe a little faster, he might be capable of doing x 1,27 or so.

nice job with the math. at least the conclusion makes sense.

 

[Sylvester]

Moser just did x 1,29 so sub x 1,3 for Quintana seems likely now.

 

[Ruby United]

Martin @10secs

 

[Pulpstar]

Tony Martin's final split will be a good marker for Froome's time. Quintana's climbing splits for his climbs.

 

[murali]

martin just 1sec off westra, though 10sec off de marchi.

This course may not suit him, but that doesn't mean that he is not going to try.

 

[The Hitch]

I'd be amazed if Cav missed the cut. Hilariously Sky would be down to 5 men if he did though.

Nicely done

tencharcs

In what kind of parallel British universe do you live?

Who?? Wha?? Really??

this is 2013, not 2012

And good catch Cyiviel. Worked that out very quick.

Stannard and Lopez are slower than Cav (if that is what you were wondering about!)

 

[will10]

Any coverage yet?

 

[Eshnar]

After inserting data of 40 riders it seems (time first TT x 1,4) is average.

Most GC men will like this TT so (time first TT x 1,35) is likely for guys like Contador, Kreuziger, and so on.

Hivert and Kittel did x 1,31 = best so far.

For the GC contenders:

Froome x 1,3 ==> 47:25; x 1,35 49:20; x 1,4 51:12, so 49-49:30 is to be expected. 51 would be very bad.
Contador and Mollema: 50ish would be great based on the first TT, 52 not so much.
Ten Dam will do 52-53 based on form.
Quintana: 51:30? Maybe a little faster, he might be capable of doing x 1,27 or so.

Considering the two ITT are completely different I really doubt this stuff makes any sense. If Froome beats Westra's time by 6 minutes we won't have a forum anyway tonight so you'll not be able to tell us "told you so"

 

[murali]

reg my earlier comment. i was saying that sky and cav shouldn't be confused now.

also, cav's current time is safe.

as far as dropping cav goes, sky can't afford to do it. think of the bad press it will create in UK.

 

[spalco]

Any coverage yet?

2pm CET again, about an hour.

 

[murali]

a very good ride from de marchi/

does this guy have any TT pedigree?

 

[Pulpstar]

I doubt anyone on this forum is confusing Sky and Cav now...

 

[wwabbit]

Storm coming in apparently, so the GC contenders may not be able to match the time of Westra/de Marchi

 

[Ryo Hazuki]

a very good ride from de marchi/

does this guy have any TT pedigree?

yes


.......

 

[Ryo Hazuki]

Storm coming in apparently, so the GC contenders may not be able to match the time of Westra/de Marchi

when exatclty will it hit where?

 

[Pulpstar]

If Sagan isn't going for it, well his team mates certainly are !

 

[Pentacycle]

a very good ride from de marchi/

does this guy have any TT pedigree?

No, but he's an awesome rider.

This TT is all about freshness and climbing skills, since it's the third week of the Tour.

 

[Bavarianrider]

Storm coming when, source?

 

[Ryo Hazuki]

No, but he's an awesome rider.

This TT is all about freshness and climbin skills, it's not your average TT.

de marchi is a former track italian pursuit rider and champion. also almost all his resutlsa re itt's

 

[The Hitch]

Listening to people say how technical it is, Im starting to think Froome wont win this. Murito will do very well.

Contador will get time on the descents if he doesn't crash but he is no nibali and froome is no wiggins.

Mollema could really solidify his 2nd place.

 

[murali]

you mean being a good climber is enough in this course?

EDIT: OOPS: didnt see hte later comment/

 

[Pulpstar]

Technical = Good for my pick - Quintana !

 

[wwabbit]

Storm coming when, source?

CN live ticker http://live.cyclingnews.com/

"13:11:07 CEST

Some bad news for today: heavy rain storms are expected to move into the area at about 2 p.m. This could make things very dangerous."

 

[zombo10]

Storm coming when, source?

Info .Très gros orages annoncés entre 16 et 18h Phénomène de ravinements possibles . Neutralisation clm évoquée si nécessaire.

https://twitter.com/c_ollivier_rtl

 

[Pulpstar]

CN live ticker http://live.cyclingnews.com/

"13:11:07 CEST

Some bad news for today: heavy rain storms are expected to move into the area at about 2 p.m. This could make things very dangerous."

That isn't bad news at all. I'd say its very good news so far as the race is concerned.