2013 World Championships Firenze. Who will win?

[barmaher]

Here are the odds just before the 2012 World Championhsip Road Race. There was a lot of money for Gilbert.

Gilbert, Philippe 3.9
Sagan, Peter 6.2
Valverde, Alejandro 10.5
Boonen, Tom 12.5
Gerrans, Simon 14.5
Rodríguez, Joaquim 19
Voeckler, Thomas 22
Boasson Hagen, Edvald 23
Freire, Óscar 28
Tiernan-Locke, Jonathan 32
Nibali, Vincenzo 36
Degenkolb, John 44
Moser, Moreno 44
Sanchez, Samuel 44
Contador, Alberto 50
Van Avermaet, Greg 50
Nordhaug, Lars-Petter 55
Kolobnev, Alexandr 60
Breschel, Matti 65
Costa, Rui 85
Gesink, Robert 95
Moreno, Daniel 95
Terpstra, Niki 100
Cummings, Steven 110
Gatto, Oscar 110
Kiryienka, Vasil 110

 

[BigMac]

Here are the odds just before the 2012 World Championhsip Road Race. There was a lot of money for Gilbert.

Gilbert, Philippe 3.9
Sagan, Peter 6.2
Valverde, Alejandro 10.5
Boonen, Tom 12.5
Gerrans, Simon 14.5
Rodríguez, Joaquim 19
Voeckler, Thomas 22
Boasson Hagen, Edvald 23
Freire, Óscar 28
Tiernan-Locke, Jonathan 32
Nibali, Vincenzo 36
Degenkolb, John 44
Moser, Moreno 44
Sanchez, Samuel 44
Contador, Alberto 50
Van Avermaet, Greg 50
Nordhaug, Lars-Petter 55
Kolobnev, Alexandr 60
Breschel, Matti 65
Costa, Rui 85
Gesink, Robert 95
Moreno, Daniel 95
Terpstra, Niki 100
Cummings, Steven 110
Gatto, Oscar 110
Kiryienka, Vasil 110

Lol @ Sagan

 

[barmaher]

If you gambled on his form, he was a worthy favourite on the course, I think.

In the end he didn't win, but I thought he had a chance.

 

[BigMac]

If you gambled on his form, he was a worthy favourite on the course, I think.

In the end he didn't win, but I thought he had a chance.

You are right, my bad because i missread your post I tought it was the odds regarding this year's WRC. I'd place a bet on him for the Cauberg last year, also.

 

[sucotash]

Kwiatkowski.

He had a break after the Tour. Now he has shown improving form in Plouay. He should be ready for the worlds. He can climb, he is good downhill, he is a proven classic rider. And he is also fast, if it comes to a sprint from a smaller group

 

[VeloHuman]

Kwiatkowski.

He had a break after the Tour. Now he has shown improving form in Plouay. He should be ready for the worlds. He can climb, he is good downhill, he is a proven classic rider. And he is also fast, if it comes to a sprint from a smaller group

Shocked nobody has suggested this yet.

 

[SKSemtex]

I wonder what will be the odds on Sagan this year.

I start to have a feeling it will not be so easy to get him out of Nibali´s wheel.

 

[Netserk]

I wonder what will be the odds on Sagan this year.

I start to have a feeling it will not be so easy to get him out of Nibali´s wheel.

He will disappear like last year.

 

[SKSemtex]

He will disappear like last year.

No way. He had been partying to much after the Tour. This year he is really focusing on it. I will put some money for sure on him. I like betting on him when he is not marked.

 

[The Hitch]

Do I have to address you and ask for your permission every time from now on if I want to write something here?

I seem to be missing something.

Looks like I have annoyed you in some way.

Good

Hopefully big macs post above which shows I was right the whole time about spain not being the favourites, might annoy you a little more.

 

[Gugashwill]

I seem to be missing something.

Looks like I have annoyed you in some way.

Good

Hopefully big macs post above which shows I was right the whole time about spain not being the favourites, might annoy you a little more.

No, hitsh.
It was you who was upset, so you used derogatory term to address to me.
It just shows that you've realized the whole absurd of your stance, but just couldn't admit it due to magnitude of your vanity.

Have a pleasant day.

 

[Marco Pantani]

Cancellara no option?

Of course I picked Andy.

One of Gilbert, Nibali, Cancellara I think.

 

[red_flanders]

That's more than enough with the personal attacks in this thread.

 

[fraserhughes]

Have the Colombians highlighted a leader? I've not seen anything...

 

[all_in]

Have the Colombians highlighted a leader? I've not seen anything...

Normally the leader should be Henao or Betancur,but Henao is very tired(overtrained) so the leaders will be probably Quintana or Betancur.Maybe Uran will find Giro legs back but I doubt it.All Sky riders are overtrained.

 

[fraserhughes]

Normally the leader should be Henao or Betancur,but Henao is very tired(overtrained) so the leaders will be probably Quintana or Betancur.Maybe Uran will find Giro legs back but I doubt it.All Sky riders are overtrained.

Thanks. I was wondering as neither Henao or Betancur are setting the Vuelta on fire and I imagine Quintana may still tired from the tour.

On paper they have perhaps one of the strongest teams for the course, it would be a real shame if they didn't have anyone hit top form at the correct time.

 

[SafeBet]

Betancur might come into form at the right time though.

 

[sucotash]

Betancur might come into form at the right time though.

Doubt it, worlds are less than a month away and he is beeing outclimbed by everybody in this Vuelta.

After his ilness, his weight issues I think he is done for this season. I doubt that he will finish the Vuelta. Even if he finishes it is highly unlikely that he will improve so dramaticly over one month.

To pick with your form, 25 days before the scheduled peak you must be on a certain level of form. It is impossible to build your shape from zero ( which is the level Batancur is now on) to a level allowing beeing competitive in a race like we will see in Italy

 

[Angliru]

Because the forum only gives 10 options.
On this years form cant leave out Quintana, Betancur or Henao and Uran's the dude who almost won the olympics.

In hindsight maybe Schleck and Contador could have made way.

I think whoever wins will need to have a decent sprint and Contador even with the mediocre season he's had will still be marked to closely to escape on his own. Andy not back yet to be a factor. Sagan would be my safe pick.

 

[Cance > TheRest]

Cancellara ftw. Must be one of the biggest favourites compared to guys like JRod and Valverde, who are tired now after a long season. Hoping for AC to win, even if its very unlikely to happen

 

[Marco Pantani]

The parcours is perfect for Spartacus. Ok sure some cobbles would suit him even more. We might see some Vlaanderen-like performance. He is the only one that can launch an successful attack on every point of the course.
Gilbert, Nibali and Sagan will need a lot of support to resist a peak Cancellara.

 

[Netserk]

I think it'll be an everyone-against-Canc race. He is brutally strong.

 

[LaFlorecita]

Cancellara ftw. Must be one of the biggest favourites compared to guys like JRod and Valverde, who are tired now after a long season. Hoping for AC to win, even if its very unlikely to happen

Agree 100%. Cance is the big favorite but hoping for AC.

 

[Vino attacks everyone]

Italy will crack Cancellara before Nibali puts in a devestating attack

 

[Marco Pantani]

Der Bär von Bern wird da sein. He'll be motoresque.