2014 Paris-Roubaix, 257 Km's, Sunday April 13th (1.UWT)

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Afrank said:
Sir Bradley Wiggins is such a giant favorite to win the race I didn't feel right putting a rating to him, as that suggests there's a chance someone else is even close to his levels of physical and mental perfection. I just assumed everyone knew he would win easy, so made up a list of contenders for 2nd place.

:p:D

are the CN servers ready to deal the madness when Wiggo crosses the line first :p
 
To answer my own question about 2014 sectors, CN posted a story with the ratings.
http://www.cyclingnews.com/news/aso-announces-paris-roubaix-cobble-ratings

-Sectors 22-20 are pretty close together, so any mechanicals here will cost quite a bit of energy. There is some time to regroup if the peloton does not try to select before entering 18. (Arenberg)

-Sector 15 to sector 10 are very close together. A medium-sized selection will be made here.

-Sector 6 to sector 3 will have the race sorted and a podium. These are very close together and difficult sectors.
8.4KM of ** rated cobbles
14KM of *** rated cobbles
19KM of **** rated cobbles (ouch!!!)
7.5KM of ***** rated cobbles

I call Wiggo quitting on or before sector 16. I will not be surprised if he quits before sector 18. Hopefully Sky is planning for the same.
 
Apr 19, 2010
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Afrank said:
Sir Bradley Wiggins is such a giant favorite to win the race I didn't feel right putting a rating to him, as that suggests there's a chance someone else is even close to his levels of physical and mental perfection. I just assumed everyone knew he would win easy, so made up a list of contenders for 2nd place.

:p:D

Wiggins has more chance of winning Roubaix than Nibali. And Le Tour for that matter.

:p:D
 
Aug 15, 2012
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The real question about Gaudin is how will all the other riders get past all those knees and elbows sticking out. His nickname ahould be 'The Gauntlet'...
 
Jan 3, 2011
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Both Bennati (90% sure) and Breshel out after going down in the same crash in RVV
 
Oct 23, 2011
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Belkin/Vanmarcke have a pretty strong team here.

Wynants, Boom and Tjallingii should all be able to make it to the finale and be of help to Vanmarcke. I'd like to see Tjallingii in the break again, though. :)

Strongest team behind OPQS?
 
Oct 29, 2011
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Cillian Kelly ‏@irishpeloton 26min
The winners of the 2011 monument classics are having a terrible time. Goss didn't ride MSR, Nuyens didn't ride Flanders… now Van Summeren.

Van Summeren is out
 
I know mocking Wiggins is the done thing, with some justification, but I think he might surprise a few people here.
He hasn't got much experience on cobbles, but he's had some ok rides, PR 2009, Tour 2010, as a skinny GC rider.
He's been training for it and put on weight, still TTing well. And we know when he trains hard with a goal in mind he's a quality rider.
He may be riding primarily for EBH or Thomas, but I'm backing him for top 10.

Seriously.
 
alspacka said:
I know mocking Wiggins is the done thing, with some justification, but I think he might surprise a few people here.
He hasn't got much experience on cobbles, but he's had some ok rides, PR 2009, Tour 2010, as a skinny GC rider.
He's been training for it and put on weight, still TTing well. And we know when he trains hard with a goal in mind he's a quality rider.
He may be riding primarily for EBH or Thomas, but I'm backing him for top 10.

Seriously.

When it rains I'm sure he won't finish. When it's dry I agree that he will come a lot further. He finished Flanders reasonably well which is an indication imo that he is serious about P-R.
I thought that theworse cobbles of Nothern France compared to the Flanders cobbles could scare him, but he allready finished before in Roubaix so he knows what he's facing so I doubt it will actually scare him. Well it will scare him, but it scares most riders, but in a healthy way.

I don't consider him a contender though, but I sure am curious how he will do. Hope he won't crash.
 
Kwibus said:
When it rains I'm sure he won't finish. When it's dry I agree that he will come a lot further. He finished Flanders reasonably well which is an indication imo that he is serious about P-R.
I thought that theworse cobbles of Nothern France compared to the Flanders cobbles could scare him, but he allready finished before in Roubaix so he knows what he's facing so I doubt it will actually scare him. Well it will scare him, but it scares most riders, but in a healthy way.

I don't consider him a contender though, but I sure am curious how he will do. Hope he won't crash.

I don't want any rider injuries, but if Sky is using a "one rider" strategy as they have repeatedly in the past, it's not going to work. I imagine them re-doing that strategy because I didn't see them doing differently 2014. Maybe I missed it though. Wiggo wasn't running in the sharp end of Flanders, so I don't see him doing it in P-R. That is too bad for Thomas.

What works is running an attacking strategy with multiple riders like BMC at Flanders. Okay, it didn't work out perfectly for them at Flanders 2014. But, for sure, it wasn't OPQS follow-follow-follow negative racing.
 
Pricey_sky said:
I hope Thomas can continue his good form here, having Wiggins around can only help incase he gets into trouble.

It will take an almighty effort from someone to stop Cance on Sunday, Vanmarke maybe?

The flatness of Roubaix doesn't force selection like the hills in Flanders though, so he'll have a rider from every squad hanging on his back wheel. And then the inevitable attacks on him on the last sectors.

There are so many variables I could be totally wrong and it just doesn't matter. I love this race!!!!
 
janraaskalt said:
Unfortunately it'll be the other way around: Thomas will be supporting Wiggins.
:(

"I want to do well in Roubaix, it’s no secret. You don’t start that race unless you want to do well," Wiggins told reporters on the start line of Scheldeprijs. "I wouldn’t have risked it in Flanders if I didn’t want to do well in Roubaix. Whether it happens or not is another thing."

http://www.cyclingnews.com/news/wiggins-serious-about-paris-roubaix-ambitions

Yes winning it is a whole different thing. I wish him no bad luck...I just won't believe he is capable of staying with the final group till later in the day on Sunday. Time will tell....
 
Jun 25, 2013
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Pricey_sky said:
I hope Thomas can continue his good form here, having Wiggins around can only help incase he gets into trouble.

It will take an almighty effort from someone to stop Cance on Sunday, Vanmarke maybe?

Hanging on Cancellara's wheel is one thing; actually dropping him is another. Hard to see even Vamarcke pulling that off, especially as marked a man as he will be.
 
Jan 12, 2014
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I'm not so excited and euphoric about P-R as I was for De Ronde.
And that's the case every year.
But, when I think about the race, I know I'll have a pleasant afternoon again on Sunday.
I just hope something significant will start happening even before Arenberg.
 
VeloHuman said:
Hanging on Cancellara's wheel is one thing; actually dropping him is another. Hard to see even Vamarcke pulling that off, especially as marked a man as he will be.

The only thing that can stop him is a, very unlikely, lapse of judgement, a mechanical or a crash.
Nobody's dropping him, and seemingly you'll struggle to out sprint him these days.
That said, I hope someone like Degenkolb, Kristoff or Sagan is there in the final, so he really has to hammer it to get them off his wheel.

I look forward to the confusion if he is involved in an incident. Everybody's plan goes out the window.