2015 Tour de France Stage 8: Rennes-Mur de Bretagne, 181.5km

[Arredondo]

Re:

That was gilbert in his godlike '11 form.

So Gilbert '11 form couldn't have a bad day?

 

[King Boonen]

Kwiatkowski for the win, a couple of small gaps between the big name GC guys (Warren Barguil to skirt under the radar again and move up a couple of positions in the top 10).

 

[Miburo]

Re: Re:

That was gilbert in his godlike '11 form.

So Gilbert '11 form couldn't have a bad day?

Can't remember that gilbert having 1 bad day that year. You do?

at least until august, he was a monster

 

[carton]

Re: Re:

Breakaway, i think no one will want to chaise before the ttt.

Giant will chase if they think Degenkolb can make it up there.

Ettix will definitely chase for Stybar/Uran/Kwiatkowski

Lotto will chase for Gallopin/Wellens

I with Ramon. Etixx may still have a shot at the TTT, and Kwiato hasn't looked his best yet. I think they'll be saving him for stage hunting duty during the mountains. Stybar may be the ticket again tomorrow, but I doubt they'll be working much with the TTT in mind.

Don't think Giant and particularly Lotto will be especially eager to drag Sagan up to the climb either.

http://www.procyclingstats.com/race/Tour_de_France_2011_Stage_4_Mur_de_bretagne

hmm, you could lose seconds here but not nearly as much as Mur de Huy

Now that's a handy link.

 

[Arredondo]

Re: Re:

That was gilbert in his godlike '11 form.

So Gilbert '11 form couldn't have a bad day?

Can't remember that gilbert having 1 bad day that year. You do?

at least until august, he was a monster

Yes on the stage to Mur de Bretagne

 

[Psalmon]

Sagan is going to pull out all the stops tomorrow to keep up in the finish. He takes Green if he gets over the steep section and keeps yellow alive for the TTT the next day if they beat Sky and BMC - a tall order for Tinkoff, but they will go all gas for AC on Stage 9 so it is possible.

 

[Baldinger]

Re: Re:

I don't think the last km is steep enough for Purito to make a difference. Froome would take him in a man to man sprint I guess, so he'll need to go from the bottom of the Mur.

Froome to take Purito in a man to man sprint?

It's not Oman.

Purito's sprint is way weaker on flatter parts than steep. And on this thing the strongest wins, if contador played it out better 4 years ago he would have beat hushovd, gilbert and evans in a rather flat sprint. Ever saw that one happening? yea

Purito won flat sprints against guys like Sammy Sanchez, Chavanel, Brochard, Contador, Henao, Quintana in the past. His sprint on the flat is good enough to win races. Of course not as strong as someone like Valverde or Kwiatkowski, but better then guys like Froome, Contador, Nibali and Quintana.

Well, if the climb got steeper towards the finnish, then I would bet on Purito to win the sprint for sure, but it's only 2,4 % the last 500 m. to the line.

 

[dacooley]

an about-nothing debate. all these situations are extremely situative. a puncheur more likely wins stage like that, but a gc rider with great kick on form can win too.

 

[staubsauger]

If a break is formed and succeeds ain't Voeckler gonna be a good pick?

 

[Fernandez]

Valverde main favourite.

 

[Waterloo Sunrise]

Re: 2015 Tour de France Stage 8: Rennes-Mur de Bretagne, 181

Simon Yates.

Got it in 1.

 

[PremierAndrew]

I'll go for Simon Yates on this one

 

[Escarabajo]

Re: Re:

Last winner here was Evans in 2011 right? Definitely not for sprinters, though Sagan has a somewhat different skillset. Still, I'm calling this one for Purito.

Hushovd was 6th back in 2011. So it's possible for Sagan.

Yeah, but TBH in those days Hushovd became a climber!

 

[sir fly]

Re:

Sagan is going to pull out all the stops tomorrow to keep up in the finish. He takes Green if he gets over the steep section and keeps yellow alive for the TTT the next day if they beat Sky and BMC - a tall order for Tinkoff, but they will go all gas for AC on Stage 9 so it is possible.

Agreed.

 

[DBotero]

Re: 2015 Tour de France Stage 8: Rennes-Mur de Bretagne, 181

J.Rod should win this.Hoping that Valverde will bother this time,Froome normally should be there too.

 

[qwerty16]

Tinkov to order Sagan to save energy for Sunday.

 

[Escarabajo]

This is the top 10 last time in 2011:

1.Cadel Evans (BMC) 4hr 11min 39sec
2.Alberto Contador (Saxo) s.t.
3.Alexandre Vinokourov (Astana) s.t.
4.Rigoberto Uran (Sky) s.t.
5.Philippe Gilbert (Omega Pharma-Lotto) s.t.
6.Thor Hushovd (Garmin-Cervelo) s.t.
7.Frank Schleck (Leopard-Trek) s.t.
8.Samuel Sanchez (Euskaltel) s.t.
9.Jurgen Van Den Broeck (Omega Pharma-Lotto) s.t.
10.Andreas Klöden (Radio Shack) s.t.
11.Bradley Wiggins (Sky) @ 6sec

I think the only sprinter with the capability to be up front is Sagan.

 

[Ruby United]

Re:

Cav will go back to back.

Is that a joke?

 

[Ruby United]

Re: Re:

That was gilbert in his godlike '11 form.

So Gilbert '11 form couldn't have a bad day?

Honestly, no, he couldn't
Never seen a stronger rider on the hills than Gilbert '11

 

[Arredondo]

Re: Re:

That was gilbert in his godlike '11 form.

So Gilbert '11 form couldn't have a bad day?

Honestly, no, he couldn't
Never seen a stronger rider on the hills than Gilbert '11

But he had on that day. Had difficulties to follow the best riders and was totally spend for the sprint.

 

[BigMac]

Alberto Rui Costa has to be in the mix. Gaining some confidence back after the crash and stuff.

If no serious gaps are made on the steep part, watch him out for the flatish end.

 

[TheGreenMonkey]

Contador was coming quickly over the top of Evans last time he just didn't get there in time, perhaps he will go one better this time having learnt from the error.

 

[cantpedal]

Re: Re:

That was gilbert in his godlike '11 form.

So Gilbert '11 form couldn't have a bad day?

no

 

[BYOP88]

Re:

Contador was coming quickly over the top of Evans last time he just didn't get there in time, perhaps he will go one better this time having learnt from the error.

Froome is in a whole different league to Evans.

 

[Miburo]

I still wonder what kinda stuff gilbert was on in that year