i don't even care who will win. i just hope it won't be the same snooze-fest as Tourmalet stage...
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Pricey_sky said:SeriousSam said:I wasn't going to abandon the Tour, it's just that my interest is greatly diminished. For one, I'm determined to keep posting the odds every stage until Froome's line has converged to 1.
Will it actually get to exactly 1 though? Say he's 5 minutes ahead of Quintana at the start of the Paris stage, there is still chance he could crash and end up with a terrible injury so he loses the race, however small that chance is.
Pricey_sky said:SeriousSam said:I wasn't going to abandon the Tour, it's just that my interest is greatly diminished. For one, I'm determined to keep posting the odds every stage until Froome's line has converged to 1.
Will it actually get to exactly 1 though? Say he's 5 minutes ahead of Quintana at the start of the Paris stage, there is still chance he could crash and end up with a terrible injury so he loses the race, however small that chance is.
SeriousSam said:Pricey_sky said:SeriousSam said:I wasn't going to abandon the Tour, it's just that my interest is greatly diminished. For one, I'm determined to keep posting the odds every stage until Froome's line has converged to 1.
Will it actually get to exactly 1 though? Say he's 5 minutes ahead of Quintana at the start of the Paris stage, there is still chance he could crash and end up with a terrible injury so he loses the race, however small that chance is.
I'm curious if anyone will still be willing to bet against Froome, at extremely good odds of course, after stage 20. There's probably always some desperate person chasing extreme long shots.
No gc battle means its unlikely to be pushed.Walkman said:I hope they push it all the way on the last climb. I want to see how fast they climb 2015 vs 2007.
SeriousSam said:Pricey_sky said:SeriousSam said:I wasn't going to abandon the Tour, it's just that my interest is greatly diminished. For one, I'm determined to keep posting the odds every stage until Froome's line has converged to 1.
Will it actually get to exactly 1 though? Say he's 5 minutes ahead of Quintana at the start of the Paris stage, there is still chance he could crash and end up with a terrible injury so he loses the race, however small that chance is.
That's true, but since I'm only using the odds because they contain an estimate of the probability Froome wins the Tour, conditional on all information we have, the moment he crosses the line in Paris, the probability is course 1.
I'm curious if anyone will still be willing to bet against Froome, at extremely good odds of course, after stage 20. There's probably always some desperate person chasing extreme long shots.
the-big-bad-wolf said:SeriousSam said:Pricey_sky said:SeriousSam said:I wasn't going to abandon the Tour, it's just that my interest is greatly diminished. For one, I'm determined to keep posting the odds every stage until Froome's line has converged to 1.
Will it actually get to exactly 1 though? Say he's 5 minutes ahead of Quintana at the start of the Paris stage, there is still chance he could crash and end up with a terrible injury so he loses the race, however small that chance is.
That's true, but since I'm only using the odds because they contain an estimate of the probability Froome wins the Tour, conditional on all information we have, the moment he crosses the line in Paris, the probability is course 1.
I'm curious if anyone will still be willing to bet against Froome, at extremely good odds of course, after stage 20. There's probably always some desperate person chasing extreme long shots.
I already placed a bet yesterday morning on Alberto for 3$ @ 41 that will result in a 120 profit
ILovecycling said:The weather its a real ****, today sunny a no rain and all freakin friday and saturday there should be lot of rain in this area
No, they need to hold those 3 minutes at least, Van Garderen? Your post reminds me Unzue, he said they want to ger rid off TJVG, thats their goal. Is he fvcking serious?! Quintana will take 5 minutes on him in the Alps so why bother, they should rather use their freakin brains to do a plan how to take time on Froome lolphanatic said:I hope Movistar destroys the competition again. They need to put TJVG in difficulty in order to solidify the second place for Nairo and possibly get Valverde ( ) on the TDF podium. Nairo was never planning to leapfrog Froome before the Alps anyhow, but they should further weaken the rest of the field in the meantime.
In the KoM competition, it will be interesting to see if Majka goes for the break or waits to take the favorites on on PdB. I hope he tries to beat the best head to head at least once this Tour, even if it isn't the same at all as going for GC.
might be.DBotero said:ILovecycling said:The weather its a real ****, today sunny a no rain and all freakin friday and saturday there should be lot of rain in this area
Don't worry Valverde loves it.He might try to drop Quintana,after all
ILovecycling said:might be.DBotero said:ILovecycling said:The weather its a real ****, today sunny a no rain and all freakin friday and saturday there should be lot of rain in this area
Don't worry Valverde loves it.He might try to drop Quintana,after all
it wouldnt be such a surprise in this weather, Quintana hates it.
froome @ the Giro lolmalakassis said:ILovecycling said:might be.DBotero said:ILovecycling said:The weather its a real ****, today sunny a no rain and all freakin friday and saturday there should be lot of rain in this area
Don't worry Valverde loves it.He might try to drop Quintana,after all
it wouldnt be such a surprise in this weather, Quintana hates it.
your comment made a new aspect of GT racing come to my mind: to be more a giro rider or more likely the tour rider depends a lot on which weather conditions suit you. people tend to say giro is steeper, so suited for pure climbers. but in addition to the parcours the giro has more extreme differences between heat and even snow. not ideal to ride this with 3% bodyfat. still i wanna see froome with full armada sky in the giro.
constant heat favors froome. so movistar to ride defensivly, patient and wait for the right moment.
sources pls?DDavies said:35 % chance of rain at Plateu De Beille between 16-19 (weather.com).
Edit: A chance of rain at Port de Lers too.