2016 Giro d'Italia - Stage 13, Palmanova - Cividale 170 km

[CraZyCaLL]

Sebastian Henao to win it from breakaway

 

[Red Rick]

Definitely the kind of stage to blatantly watch while ignoring anything the lecturer says. Also, someone find and restrain Gigs, or pray that the curse is broken.

 

[MikeTichondrius]

Re:

This is the kind of stage you will never see in France: climbs that aren't high, but steep. An ideal terrain for spectacle! This stage will make clear who the true candidates for the final victory are.

This year's TDF wants a word with you (Hey, better than usual, I'll take it!)

Best case scenario would be an early selection on Montemaggiore and Crai. Those steep gradients could see a 50-ish group at the base of Porzus IMO, then chaos.

In truth, I expect an early break to be let go of before or on Montemaggiore, then what's left of the favorites group to slow down on the flat after Crai and let stragglers rejoin and have a large group before Porzus and then some sort of selection.

Or they softpedal the whole thing. What do I know?

 

[jsem94]

Breakaway win. GC group of 30-40 riders, no splits. Jungels stays in pink. Boring GC battle.

 

[Krokro]

I just hope that there will be some sort of GC battle but who knows. If not dangerous breakaway left with 8min ahead there will be less incentive to fight for time bonuses or prestigious stage win.

 

[Breh]

Re:

Breakaway win. GC group of 30-40 riders, no splits. Jungels stays in pink. Boring GC battle.

 

[johnymax]

Re: Re:

Breakaway win. GC group of 30-40 riders, no splits. Jungels stays in pink. Boring GC battle.

Sure...why not, reduced bunch sprint with Nizzolo finally taking the win

 

[Breh]

it says breakaway win.

Smaller GC group tho, I agree.

 

[Orbit501]

Kudus to spread his wings. If not on this stage, then maybe tomorrow. Said he was targeting a mountain stage win if his GC hopes were dashed, which they are.

 

[TheGreenMonkey]

Re:

Kruijswijk FTW!

Yes, that is what I want.

 

[Jungle Cycle]

Henao from a reduced group for the stage. Amador/Fuglsang following atacks from Uran, Pozzo, Zaka. Nibali+Valverde following wheels. Amador in pink.. hoping for Jungels+Brambilla...

 

[Escarabajo]

Re:

Breakaway win. GC group of 30-40 riders, no splits. Jungels stays in pink. Boring GC battle.

It could be boring, but no way 30-40 riders.

Breakaway win!

 

[Tigerion]

Re:

Expect attacks from the ones little behind in GC, like Pozzo, Uran, Zakarin... Also Astana might try with Fuglsang and Movistar with Amador. Descends will going to be crazy I think...

Even if they think he will crack shortly there is no way the top 10 are going to let Amador get a big gap.

Fattycur to go on the attack with the breakaway, drop the rest of the group on the Porzus, hit Valle with 5 minutes on the reduced peleton of favorites and to finish 10 minutes down.

Either breakaway or Valverde from a reduced GC bunch

 

[blaxland]

really hoping tonight that Chaves shows everyone in this giro,that his time has come....then Nibali and Valverde will follow behind by 30-40 seconds.

 

[Miburo]

2 strongest climbers will hopefully attack. Kruiswijk and Majka imo

 

[RattaKuningas]

Re:

Breakaway win. GC group of 30-40 riders, no splits. Jungels stays in pink. Boring GC battle.

I don't share your pessimism. I think it will be an epic stage.

 

[MightyWheelSucker]

Zakarin attacks on descent.

If not, then Fulgsang will go early and Nibali will bridge on descent. Valverde and Chavez go with Nibali.
Do not know how useful will be Amador, might depends on the pace of main group. I think the pace will be not high because only Astana nad Movistar have enough in mountains, but Valverde prefers low pace and Nibali waits for his shape to be better (which may not come).

 

[RattaKuningas]

Re:

Zakarin attacks on descent.

If not, then Fulgsang will go early and Nibali will bridge on descent. Valverde and Chavez go with Nibali.
Do not know how useful will be Amador, might depends on the pace of main group. I think the pace will be not high because only Astana nad Movistar have enough in mountains, but Valverde prefers low pace and Nibali waits for his shape to be better (which may not come).

Is Zakarin a good descender? I'm not sure about his bike handling because on TT stage he fell multiple times.

 

[Climbing]

Re: 2016 Giro d'Italia - Stage 13, Palmanova - Cividale 170

Here in my zone (center Italy) is raining cats and dogs at the moment.
If that's the case up there, it will be carnage for sure.

I'd say breakaway wins it, Jungels and Amador will drop, very small group of GC riders at the end (maybe Nibali, Valverde and Chaves).

Or maybe a super boring conservative race!

 

[MightyWheelSucker]

Re: Re:

Zakarin attacks on descent.

If not, then Fulgsang will go early and Nibali will bridge on descent. Valverde and Chavez go with Nibali.
Do not know how useful will be Amador, might depends on the pace of main group. I think the pace will be not high because only Astana nad Movistar have enough in mountains, but Valverde prefers low pace and Nibali waits for his shape to be better (which may not come).

Is Zakarin a good descender? I'm not sure about his bike handling because on TT stage he fell multiple times.

Zakarin is great bike handler, on condition that rides a bike which takes care of the handling itself. Has not found one yet.
Yeah it was meant to be joke.

 

[dacooley]

Nibs to try to make statement with an all-out attack on the last climb.

 

[Eshnar]

Live coverage should start pretty early today. Around 13:20... We might even see the first climb.
Maybe.

 

[Squire]

Re:

Zakarin attacks on descent.

If not, then Fulgsang will go early and Nibali will bridge on descent. Valverde and Chavez go with Nibali.
Do not know how useful will be Amador, might depends on the pace of main group. I think the pace will be not high because only Astana nad Movistar have enough in mountains, but Valverde prefers low pace and Nibali waits for his shape to be better (which may not come).

The bolded is my worry as well. I'm getting some slight Basso 2012 vibes from Nibali at the moment. Don't think it'll be that bad, but he hasn't looked convincing so far. Obviously I want Valverde to win, but I also want a great race, and for that to happen, we need a strong Nibali.

 

[Winkin' boy]

Breakaway to win this one easily. I don't think you can win this Giro today, but you can lose it.

Looking forward to Zakarin, Majka & Chavez furious attacks, but don't know if anything like this happens...

 

[Rollthedice]

How is Krushweak descending? He almost crashed in that stage where Pirazzi collided with Cunego.