2019 Giro d'Italia Stage 20: Feltre - Monte Avena 194 km

[klintE]

GC after tomorrow:

Carapaz
Nibali
Lopez
Landa
Rogla
Yates
Majka
Mollema
Zakarin
Sivakov

 

[Rollthedice]

- Hola Richi, you know Landa told me yesterday that he could win this Giro.
- Really?
- Yes, I told him he deserves at least a podium

 

[klintE]

Re: Re:

There's another climb and a descent before the last one.

Yes, but if passed in a easy way it can't be a factor.
Hard pace - with who? Caruso and Agnoli?

 

[ice&fire]

Re:

- Hola Richi, you know Landa told me yesterday that he could win this Giro.
- Really?
- Yes, I told him he deserves at least a podium

-If Mikel attacks tomorrow to get on podium, will you chase him?
-No way. You're the maglia rosa and it is your duty.

 

[Pantani_lives]

The optimist in me expects an epic battle starting on Manghen, resulting into a big shuffle in the top 10. The realist in me expects a staring contest until the final 7 km, with Carapaz easily holding on to pink.

 

[Cookster15]

Pink isn't in doubt but the lower steps of the podium are up for grabs. But what a Giro after the boredom of the first 12 stages.

Carapaz will easily hold pink because his closest challengers are simply not strong enough to close the gap. No 2016 miracles for the Shark this time. Landa will behave himself so not to complicate matters for his leader.

I am hoping Roglic stays strong and at least finishes close to Nibali. That will fend off Landa (and Lopez) in GC and he can be proud of hanging on for a likely Podium in Verona. I have been impressed with him suffering to minimise losses on the climbs and then his ride today whilst ineffectual shows he is still quite strong and should not collapse. If he doesn't collapse then Landa (or Lopez) won't grab the last podium step from him.

As for Lopez he is a further 2.5mins adrift so I can't see him finishing ahead of Roglic after tomorrow either unless he attacks 100km from the finish on the Manghen. Only a Roglic collapse would see that and he could count on Bahrain reacting. The last two stages tell me Roglic has stabilised his form after his unfortunate crash. He might be even stronger tomorrow if he is now recovering. He will certainly need to be.

 

[Sciatic]

Might be more exciting if they could do this stage in reverse, so Manghen would be closer to finish. Though I suppose it's an easier climb from the other direction?

 

[TourOfSardinia]

Re:

Nibali should send Caruso in the break. Antonio and Pozzo to set a strong pace on Manghen and the first part of Rolle. In the last km's of Rolle, Vincenzo attacks and Caruso leads him until the flat part of Croce d'Aune. You should know the rest.

Nibali should send them all in the break
then bridge!

 

[Amazinmets87]

Nibali has stated the podium means very little to him. Tomorrow we find out whether he was being disingenuous

 

[repre]

Re:

Nibali has stated the podium means very little to him. Tomorrow we find out whether he was being disingenuous

he'll ride for podium cause of Trek contract

 

[Escarabajo]

Carapaz, Nibali and Roglic crack on Manghen only to see Landa, Lopez and Mollema in the podium tomorrow.

 

[Max Rockatansky]

Day X
Passo Manghen, GPM1, 18.9 km at 7.6%
The last monster of this Giro, with its last 6 km at 10%.

Actually Manghen is 23 km @ 7,3%. That's some 1700 meters of climbing. Looks like around one hour of climbing to me.

 

[Cookster15]

Manghen is 116km from the finish. Only hope is Movistar set a cracking pace to soften the legs of Rogli and Nibali. I'd be surprised if Movistar attack 100km from the finish with a 2 minute lead up their sleeves. That would be risky.

 

[Red Rick]

Re:

Manghen is 116km from the finish. Only hope is Movistar set a cracking pace to soften the legs of Rogli and Nibali. I'd be surprised if Movistar attack 100km from the finish with a 2 minute lead up their sleeves. That would be risky.

This makes no sense to me?

The only hope imo is if Astana or Mitchelton get really ambitious, but I don't expect much.

 

[ice&fire]

Lopez yoyoing in Anterselva after asking his teammate to raise the pace was hilarious. If Astana is really ambitious they may actually drop their own leader.

 

[JesusManzano]

When does the live coverage start? From what I can find the first 2 hours will not be on TV. but that can`t be right..?

 

[klintE]

Re:

I'd be surprised if Movistar attack 100km from the finish with a 2 minute lead up their sleeves. That would be risky.

Rather crazy than risky.

 

[Robert5091]

So who's going in the break? Nieve & Chaves could spell fun ... everyone apart from Movistar will probably get one man up the road.
Sunny & warm weather forecast which could drain some guys. Carapaz, Nibs & Roglic all need to gain some time before Sunday. Somebody (or two!) will lose a lot of time - if Landa ends up in a podium spot after the stage, I would n't be surprised.
The Manghen climb is a real monster so someone dropped there is going to be in for a long tough day.

 

[Robert5091]

Re:

When does the live coverage start? From what I can find the first 2 hours will not be on TV. but that can`t be right..?

Rai Sport have pre-stage TV from 10.00 CET, Eurosport, L'Equipe start 13.00 CET, km 0 is planned for 11.20 CET.

Live ticker /CN's ticker/ Giro Twitter otherwise.

 

[ice&fire]

Movistar has had Amador in the break in any serious mountain stage so far, so I wouldn't discard he's sent again on a mission tomorrow

 

[Red Rick]

Re:

Movistar has had Amador in the break in any serious mountain stage so far, so I wouldn't discard he's sent again on a mission tomorrow

Amador should be getting dropped from any decent climbing break uphill.

He was there after the Mortirolo and then got dropped almost immediately on the way to Ponte di Legno. Still scared Nibali into not attacking

 

[CyclistAbi]

Carapaz has a strong team and a comfortable time advantage. Other GT favorites will need to work together if the plan will be to apply the pressure early. If they will wait longer, there are some unknowns involved. That is when it comes to the individual quality. I do see a possibility of Roglič or Nibali to outperform Carapaz tomorrow. Roglič looked strong again today and Nibali will for sure try and likely will make some difference.

 

[hfer07]

NIbali will attack without a doubt - will it be enough? All comes down to Carapaz...

Movistar as a team is far stronger then Bahrain-Merida, So unless Nibs comes up with one of those brilliant moves, the odds seem to be against it - BUT you never know.....

Hope this stage turns out a great one

 

[gregrowlerson]

Re:

After this stage:
Nibs will seal 2nd place, Carapaz will seal the 1st place and Rogla will fight against Landa for the 3rd in final TT.

This is the most likely outcome.

 

[gregrowlerson]

Re:

Carapaz, Nibali and Roglic crack on Manghen only to see Landa, Lopez and Mollema in the podium tomorrow.

What a memorable stage it would be!!