Rain is now less likely during the race, but it should still rain overnight from Friday to Saturday, so probably still muddy.
I totally believe you about the race dynamics of the version that Moser won—I only have a fuzzy memory of it.I can't 100% rule out Sagan could have caught him, there's no live image of the group behind to prove or disprove it.
But Moser's time on Via Santa Caterina, the steep part (45") is a very good time compared to other winners. He was only 4" slower than Kwiatkowski in 2014 (dropping Sagan) for example. The only much faster time I have for that section are Stybar in 2015 and Benoot (37"). Pogacar did it in 38" last year so watch out if he is in the front group when they approach Siena.
diamond steel reinforcedSo what handlebar will MVDP have on his bike now?
Don't know but, after reading his quote "couldn't do my thing" I favor him over everyone. The guy is a total Studhoss.So what handlebar will MVDP have on his bike now?
We can't discount Mohoric but Mathieu has no chance? Alright.I am extremely positive that MVDP will not win this race, if he is there for a win on to the final wall in Siena he will go backwards up there. No chance to see him winning this, it will be more between ALA and WVA, but it is obviously that ALA is this year at the top of his game, so I hardly see anyone to beat him. Maybe Pogačar is the only one that can spoil the fun to ALA.
And guys, don't discount Matej Mohorič for this one.
Because he is such a terrible puncheur?Ya, not sure MVDP can distance likes of WVA or Alaphillippe and if he can't, they'll beat him at the finish. If he can, it'd be a great win.
What makes you think Van Der Poel can't distance Van Aert on that final wall? It's 400-500m, I would say that pretty much suits Mathieu.Ya, not sure MVDP can distance likes of WVA or Alaphillippe and if he can't, they'll beat him at the finish. If he can, it'd be a great win.
I still take Alaphilippe if they come together at the foot of the last wall. But MvdP is close second and WvA is close third in my book. It'll be a fascinating battle. But in the end Brambilla is going to winWhat makes you think Van Der Poel can't distance Van Aert on that final wall? It's 400-500m, I would say that pretty much suits Mathieu.
Ok, Alaphilippe is the best puncheur in the world, but Strade is a damn hard race, maybe his punch won't be there if those cross guys do the forcing for a while.
I remember Valverde, best puncheur in the world at that time, being beaten by Stybar and Van Avermaet at that wall...
In fact, I dare to say, if Van Der Poel comes with the front group at the bottom of that wall, he will win. Doesn't matter who the competition are...
According to Adrie vdP, Mathieu bumped against a car with his handlebar two days before during KBK , when he was riding the same bike. This probably was the real culprit. Then he rode into a hole in the road during Le Samyn, and the handlebar snapped.Write off MVDP at your own peril.
Also I guess this answer the handlebar question:
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Canyon issues 'stop ride' for Aeroad after Van der Poel handlebar failure
Alpecin-Fenix to switch models as company investigates possible handlebar faultwww.cyclingnews.com
I agree. Up to this point Wout has proven to be the better climber. Plus, Wout has much more experience in both participation and top finishes. He knows how to best race this race.The thing is you don't know how well van Aert will come out of his trainingcamp so it's useless to "predict" if van der Poel can beat him or not. However, if both are at the top of their game, i don't think Mathieu will easily beat him after a hard race (which SB is). This isn't 5% for 300 meters, this is longer and steeper, and imho Wout is clearly the better climber. But all of that won't matter, because if they enter Siena with Alaphilippe, they can battle it out for 2nd place 15 seconds behind the winner.
According to Adrie vdP, Mathieu bumped against a car with his handlebar two days before during KBK , when he was riding the same bike. This probably was the real culprit. Then he rode into a hole in the road during Le Samyn, and the handlebar snapped.
By "sprinting away on the flat part" you mean "got first into the bend with 300 to go", right?Alaphilippe himself didn't exactly set the world on fire the only time he climbed via Santa Caterina with a chance to win the race. He followed Van Aert until Fuglsang attacked and then followed him all the way to the top. He outsprinted Fuglsang on the flat part.
Their time up the wall was around 50".
I think we have enough examples of very punchy rider being beaten (or even blown away in some cases) on via Santa Caterina to be aware that anything can happen once they get there.
Well he overcame Fuglsang on a relatively straight section after the wall was over. Jakob was cooked and not very smart to let the door open (Cancellara would never give you that chance). I just wanted to say that he didn't smoke Fuglsang on the wall as we all thought he would.By "sprinting away on the flat part" you mean "got first into the bend with 300 to go", right?![]()
I was sure Fuglsang had him. He looked stronger than him on the run-in and should have gone fast from the bottom of the hill (similar to what he did in FW where Alaphilippe was barely fresh enough to keep up).Well he overcame Fuglsang on a relatively straight section after the wall was over. Jakob was cooked and not very smart to let the door open (Cancellara would never give you that chance). I just wanted to say that he didn't smoke Fuglsang on the wall as we all thought he would.
But then Fuglsang was close to winning FW that year! He had an uphill punch that was incredible (for him). I wonder how he's going to be this year, if he has given up on GTs.Well he overcame Fuglsang on a relatively straight section after the wall was over. Jakob was cooked and not very smart to let the door open (Cancellara would never give you that chance). I just wanted to say that he didn't smoke Fuglsang on the wall as we all thought he would.
That's a terrible design imo, having what amounts to a predetermined breaking point in such a critical piece of equipment that has to withstand significiant force at the most important points of a race.Write off MVDP at your own peril.
Also I guess this answer the handlebar question:
![]()
Canyon issues 'stop ride' for Aeroad after Van der Poel handlebar failure
Alpecin-Fenix to switch models as company investigates possible handlebar faultwww.cyclingnews.com
Ah, this is just excellent. And with a line-up consisting of bot Vans, Alaphillipe and Pogacar. I'm so hyped right now that it's pretty likely I will be disappointed!Rain is now less likely during the race, but it should still rain overnight from Friday to Saturday, so probably still muddy.