2021 Trentino European Championships 8-12 September

[BlueRoads]

Francesco Moser thinks that the circuit should suit Ganna and that a late attack from him is a legit option.
Italy should have either Ulissi or Bagioli constantly marking Remco.

After that one bigger climb it really looks like a perfect course for rouleurs. I suppose if Ganna reaches the finish line with Evenepoel he should have the better sprint as well... But in the men's race, if it becomes an attacking race many tactical situations can evolve which could make a relative outsider win. Still, Italy has an abundance of options, the chances for them to have the winner among them are high.

The French could have a good outside bet with Cosnefroy, if guys like Ganna and Evenepoel don't manage to escape.

 

[Mayomaniac]

After that one bigger climb it really looks like a perfect course for rouleurs. I suppose if Ganna reaches the finish line with Evenepoel he should have the better sprint as well... But in the men's race, if it becomes an attacking race many tactical situations can evolve which could make a relative outsider win. Still, Italy has an abundance of options, the chances for them to have the winner among them are high.

The French could have a good outside bet with Cosnefroy, if guys like Ganna and Evenepoel don't manage to escape.

Nearly all of the Italians should beat Remco in a sprint, that also includes Moscon and Aleotti. He pretty much has to arrive solo to win this one.

 

[Mayomaniac]

Also, I'm a bit surprised by the Swiss team. They are bringing pretty much all the climbers that they have, but not Bissegger or Küng. I guess they want to make the race as hard as possible for Mäder or Hirschi.

 

[Red Rick]

I don't think this route is great for rouleurs in that the climb is still relatively big compared to the flats in the circuit. It just makes a small group sprint very likely to me.

The thing that will make it selective is that you have a guy like Pogacar drilling it and just not looking back.

 

[Red Rick]

Also, I'm a bit surprised by the Swiss team. They are bringing pretty much all the climbers that they have, but not Bissegger or Küng. I guess they want to make the race as hard as possible for Mäder or Hirschi.

Kung, maybe. But Bissegger? Bissegger was basically in the gruppetto in the harder stages of Benelux Tour. Seems to be all aero no W/kg to me.

 

[BlueRoads]

I don't think this route is great for rouleurs in that the climb is still relatively big compared to the flats in the circuit. It just makes a small group sprint very likely to me.

The thing that will make it selective is that you have a guy like Pogacar drilling it and just not looking back.

I don't know, so far the races have been absolutely non-selective, and if that would be the route for today I think it would be a bunch sprint. However there is this early climb, and the real sprinters will be out. Everyone else will survive, I think, especially with Italy, the strongest team, having good options for the sprint. I think in championships the climbs are often over-estimated, usually somehow more guys manage to survive than one would think.
Pogacar is also not in best-form I suppose, can't see him getting rid of well-climbing rouleurs there. If anything, like I said, I can see a tactical situation arising in which some riders with good chances just stay behind.

Slovenia will certainly ride for Mohoric.

 

[Hugo Koblet]

Francesco Moser thinks that the circuit should suit Ganna and that a late attack from him is a legit option.
Italy should have either Ulissi or Bagioli constantly marking Remco.

I think that Ulissi and Bagioli aren't the best options for that. I agree with the idea of man marking Evenepoel, but I'd rather have someone with a big engine doing that because, as you mention, nearly everyone will beat Evenepoel in a head to head sprint. Have Cattaneo, Trentin or Moscon, who have better chances of following Evenepoel, mark him instead.

 

[BlueRoads]

I think that Ulissi and Bagioli aren't the best options for that. I agree with the idea of man marking Evenepoel, but I'd rather have someone with a big engine doing that, because as you mention, nearly everyone will beat Evenepoel in a head to head sprint. Have Cattaneo, Trentin or Moscon, who have better chances of following Evenepoel, mark him instead.

Why not Ganna himself? Or at least Moscon... about the others, I would fear they mark him but simply lose his wheel.

 

[Red Rick]

Why not Ganna himself? Or at least Moscon... about the others, I would fear they mark him but simply lose his wheel.

If Ganna rides directly behind Evenepoel he probably eats more wind than Evenepoel.

 

[Mayomaniac]

Kung, maybe. But Bissegger? Bissegger was basically in the gruppetto in the harder stages of Benelux Tour. Seems to be all aero no W/kg to me.

His performance from the breakaway in the RVV suggests that his engine is fine, but his w/kg on longer climbs are probably not that good.

 

[Red Rick]

His performance from the breakaway in the RVV suggests that his engine is fine, but his w/kg on longer climbs are probably not that good.

He finished minutes down in de Ronde?

Anyway browsing through his results I don't see any stage with a selection made on hills where he didn't finish in the bottom half of the peloton 5 minutes+ down. Any engine he has here would be very little use.

 

[tobydawq]

Well, I don't think Bennett will feature much in this race...

 

[BlueRoads]

Damn, I'm so bad at recognizing riders in their national kits and if there are many riders among them I really don't know it doesn't help.

 

[SHAD0W93]

Well, I don't think Bennett will feature much in this race...

He is back! Victory guaranteed.

"2m BENNETT Sam (Ireland) back in peloton"

 

[Faserr]

Breakaway doesn't want to break away anymore.

 

[TourOfSardinia]

Azzurri missed the break?

 

[BlueRoads]

How many motos are there...

 

[Tim Cahill]

ALLEZ!

 

[RedheadDane]

France wanna play!

 

[roundabout]

so many white jerseys...

why doesn't Italy mark moves

 

[Samamba]

Spain what you doing

 

[RedheadDane]

Spain wanna play too.

 

[Tim Cahill]

Ah yes the attack with the entire team tactic, the Spanish team directors been watching old Gewiss tapes all night.

 

[Samamba]

All the big teams destroying eachother early, interesting

 

[Mayomaniac]

At least Italy has Bagioli in the front group, one of the fastest guys there.
They shouldn't pull behind, send another rider on the attack on the next climb and let others chase.