Giro d'Italia 2023 Giro d'Italia: Who is going to win? Pre-race poll.

[Netserk]

Both list and order of options are derived from oddschecker*.

*I have removed Ciccone.

 

[Andy schleck]

Roglic for the win, if he stays on the bike.

 

[Netserk]

Bah, I *** up. And now I can't edit the poll ...

 

[houtdffan]

Remco, and it won't even be close

And then people will still find excuses as to how he was lucky and he is not the best

 

[Andy schleck]

Remco, and it won't even be close

And then people will still find excuses as to how he was lucky and he is not the best

I'm starting to think that you are remco or remco's mother.

 

[houtdffan]

I'm starting to think that you are remco or remco's mother.

and I'm starting to think you're best discussed in the clinic, Andy

 

[BigCoward]

Roglic>Remco>>>>>>>>>>TGH

 

[YavorD]

My favorite is Remco although I'm curious to see how he really goes in the really hard mountain stages. That question wasn't really answered in the Vuelta.
My hope is he isn't a beast there and bleeds some time.. only to attack like crazy in the medium mountains.

 

[Potomac]

Bean Hilly

 

[peterfin]

Remco>>>Roglic>>>>>>>The rest. Assuming they don't crash out.

 

[Escarabajo]

Easiest 2 choices if no accidents happen to the main contenders. I am going to go with Youth here. Remco for the win. Recuperation will be important for the monster 3rd week.

 

[Blanco]

Roglic all the way. The boy is gonna be beaten badly.

 

[Valv.Piti]

Remco, and I don't think it will be that close!

 

[topcat]

Nibali. He will find a way.

 

[Mayomaniac]

My feeling is that someone will be up there with Remco and Roglic in the mountain stages.

 

[Eeslliw]

Nibali. He will find a way.

His voodoo worked in 2019 Giro, he just put it on the wrong guy. Even voodoo master like Nibali made mistakes sometimes.

 

[Eeslliw]

My feeling is that someone will be up there with Remco and Roglic in the mountain stages.

I hope some camera guy will be with them.

 

[tobydawq]

I really hope Roglic wins but have a very hard time seeing him beat Remco - even if Catalunya was encouraging.

 

[tobydawq]

Bah, I *** up. And now I can't edit the poll ...

With the year?

I want to vote Hindley, but it's not in the poll

 

[Mayomaniac]

I hope some camera guy will be with them.

Camera guy yes, but a few dark clouds and the Italian nanny state won't allow the helicopter to start...

 

[Devil's Elbow]

Barring crashes or other things that would ruin it, I expect this race will be decided by one of Roglic and Evenepoel breaking the other in one of the big mountain stages and taking, say, two minutes in the process. As good as Evenepoel was last Vuelta, he didn't have to face this magnitude of climbing, whereas Roglic destroyed everyone on the way to Covadonga the last time he got to do a big GT mountain stage in perfect health. In fact, I think Evenepoel's Vuelta-winning climbing was less impressive than Roglic' climbing in the 2019 and 2021 Vueltas, as well as the 2020 Tour. Moreover, I don't think Roglic has declined much, if at all, compared to that (rather it's Pogacar and Vingegaard who have improved).

So if anything, Evenepoel needs to break new ground to be the one to break the other rather than the other way round - ground that he didn't break in Catalunya. Now Catalunya definitely isn't a perfect predictor and Evenepoel still has room to grow in terms of his climbing, but as someone who voted for Evenepoel ahead of last year's Vuelta, I still have a bit more faith in Roglic for now when push comes to shove in the Alps.

As for third place, Thomas theoretically has a couple of minutes in hand on most of the other riders after the main TT, and that will be enough if he's around his level in last year's Tour. The problem is that his trackrecord suggests a 50/50 chance of a crash destroying his chances before we get there, he's at a point that age should be taking a toll on his climbing, and Hart seems likely to surpass him in the hierarchy the moment he struggles. Ultimately I do expect the latter to happen. Vlasov has had a disappointing spring and generally isn't that great in a GT, Ciccone will have some great days (if Covid doesn't derail him) but is ultimately a bit too inconsistent and not exactly a great time-trialist, which (barring a Caruso-type surprise - Vine seems a decent shout) leaves a battle between Hart and Almeida. I'm a bit worried that Hart is coming into form a little too quickly, so I'll go for Almeida resuming his role from Tirreno and Catalunya as best of the rest.

 

[Netserk]

My feeling is that someone will be up there with Remco and Roglic in the mountain stages.

Where is Padun when you need him?

 

[Netserk]

With the year?

I want to vote Hindley, but it's not in the poll

Yes. There's always the Vino option.

 

[spalco]

Remco all the way.

 

[Red Rick]

Catalunya had 6 seconds between them. So naturally a lot of people are very confident one is gonna destroy the other.

IMO based on the racing this year so far you actually can't go one way strongly with any good degree of confidence.