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Giro d'Italia 2024 Giro d'Italia Women: 7/7 - 14/7

Stage 1 (ITT) » Brescia › Brescia (15.7km)

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TdFF I think CSR are splitting it like SDWorx.

Trek would probably have done the same except theyve got obvious Italian coverage benefits from just being there with ELB, Balsamo & Gaia and good chance for stage wins.

I am also surprised that Jayco do not have Paternoster or Baker present for the sprints. My immediate thought is the Olympics, however, most of the trackies are not riding the TDF.
 
I don't think the field is very weak. You're missing a few, primarily Kasia and Vollering for GC, but I think this may become increasingly the norm in the women's gts as they get bigger and harder. Of course you're right that the Olympics are a factor for this year.

weak is probably overstating it, but Lidl Trek have got to be favourites with that kind of team there, thats got to be their strongest line up out of the riders they have picked from their squad, and its hard beyond SD Worx largely just because of you know who, to see who could challenge them, every other team seems to have only one rider who you think well they could do something on this or that kind of stage or if that move happened, maybe theyll spring a surprise, get in a breakaway Trek miss, but they dont have the other riders on their team to back them up to help out. Trek have 3 or 4 riders to play for every stage.
 
I dont think she'd be there if she wasnt, the race was always mentioned as part of her seasons goals, not just something to do before the Olympics and instead of Tdff
At the same time, in order to be peak form for the Olympics since she will be doing the omnium and the madison as well, at least in theory she probably will have had to sacrifice some of her climbing form. Even Geraint Thomas, the poster boy for bulky trackies deciding when well established road riders to suddenly be an elite climber, had to sacrifice stage race ability at the altar of track medals in 2012.

And at last year's tour, despite everything, she still lost 3 and a half minutes on Tourmalet which was the only proper mountain stage (although of those that beat her that day, only Juliette Labous is in attendance here) - and that stage was not as difficult as the Blockhaus stage here (Aspin 12km @ 6% + Tourmalet 17km @ 7% as against Lanciano 11km @ 8,6% + Blockhaus 16km @ 8%) as well as the rest of the route having significantly more climbing than last year's Tour. Now, Lotte did win on Jebel Hafeet in the UAE Tour, but that was a Unipuerto stage with 10km @ 7% - a pretty solid climb but mostly a very consistent one, having been built at a relatively modern time with much more up to date equipment and better for tempo riding. She did beat Longo Borghini and Realini, which is a marker even for a February race, but that race also did not feature climbers like Labous, Uttrup, Santestebán, Chabbey, Magnaldi or Lippert (albeit Liane's form will be a complete unknown here as she hasn't raced much this season due to injuries), plus of course in February you can never be sure what others' form will be like.

If Kopecky does have designs on the GC here, she probably needs to grind a few people to dust in the tempo MTF on stage 2, and maximise her time gains in the first half of the race, but if she's losing 25 seconds already on stage 1 then I suspect she won't fight for GC unless the opportunity presents itself, such as she finds herself in the right breakaway, or she attacks for a stage and the bunch dithers behind and lets her gap become decisive enough that she re-enters the mix.
 
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