Taxus4a said:
B_Ugli said:
I do like Contador - he is one of the last types of riders with Panache like Valverde.
However is form his quite erratic though IMHO. Last year he and Froome crash out of the Tour (Contador a few days later than Froome and with a broken leg). Its unclear whether he will start the Vuelta 2014 until days before and then beats Froome (who hasn't broken a leg) convincingly.
FFW to 2015 and after another convincing win in the Giro he fades to nothing in the Tour.
How can he win a grand tour in 2014 with no training for a month and a broken leg, then in 2015 win a Giro with two fully functioning legs and fail dramatically at the TDF having just dished out a beating to Quintana at the Route de Sud.
Some might say well its because he was tired after the Giro but his performance at Route de Sud would suggest he wasn't tired.
His form just seems quite erratic for somebody at his level.
By no training for 2 weaks, he had a good preparation for la Vuelta, one mont training after 8 days in le Tour, better than Froome.
* * * * *
By the contrary to be 5th after win il Giro wit all the rivals there till the end, is a good result, although he expected even to win.
If you think that he was in more disasvantage in la Vuelta is the contrary
B_Ugli: Enjoyed your post, and totally agree with you about Contador's "panache." He's my all-time favorite rider to watch, and most of my permanent recordings of cycling stages involve him.
How can Contador win the 2014 Vuelta with little training and a (hairline) fractured leg and then flop at the 2015 TDF after his
Route de Sud beating of Quintana? (1) He did not exhaust himself at the 2014 TDF, since he abandoned relatively early, and had plenty in the tank for the 2014 Vuelta, and (2) I highly doubt Quintana was on peak form at the
Route de Sud, and was going for a July peak when it mattered most. The
Route de Sud wasn't televised in the US, as far as I could find, so I didn't see it.
Taxus: I like most of your analysis, except I disagree about Contador's 5th place 2015 TDF finish as being "a good result." Contador finished 9:48 back, that's almost 10 minutes, for the best Grand Tour racer in history (never saw Merckx). Nibali even leapfrogged him, and Froome faded over the last 2 stages.
9:48. Not quite Ben Johnson's 100 meter 9.79, but almost....