- Jun 9, 2012
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movingtarget said:Evans was simply a case of the perfect race for him. Evans was consistent throughout. Many thought he had blown his chance for a Tour win but the reality is he could have quite easily had three Tour wins. Many of Evans rivals crashed out although although the only one who had a serious chance was probably VDB. He still had to beat both Schlecks, Contador post Giro with knee issues, Basso, Sanchez and a few others. The falls made the race more predictable but Contador and Andy made up for it in the final few days. Wiggins win was the same sort of. Perfect route and like Evans had been in the form of his life pre Tour. Froome as right hand man, strongest team and much too consistent for Nibali and VDB.
Even though Contador is still young, the authority of Froome's win by 5 minutes or so means Contador has a lot of ground to make up. Then you have Quintana and younger riders improving. I hope Andy gets back to his best as that will add another dimension to next year's race along with Nibali. Will be interesting to see how Nibali goes in the Tour. He is an improved rider but I still think he will have a hard time winning the Tour. If Contador never wins another Tour, the reasons for that will always be contentious. Either Froome is much better than many give him credit for or Contador has hit the wall and simply has not got another Tour win in him against new opposition. Not everyone carries on into their thirties with the same dominance as before and Contador was very good when he was young. Let's face it if Porte and Kreuziger were riding for different teams in the Tour, they would have beaten Contador as well.
I think that Froome 2013 was very similar, if not better than Contador 2009 (his peak). The winning margins were almost identical. It's hard to see Contador reaching 2009 level again so that suggests Froome will dominate him. I do however think that a strong Contador (he would clearly have to be better than this year) could beat Niballi, Porte & Quintana, so really the crux of it is Froome's presence at the Tour.
