LaFlorecita said:
Kreuziger, Roche and Rogers definitely, though I'd prefer them to leave Roche at home. CAS definitely not. Apparently Contador asked for Majka on the Tour team but Majka has not decided yet.
Add to that Jesús Hernández who's best buds with Contador and the only other Spanish rider on Tinkoff-Saxo. Hasn't looked that good this year but he's been in every team that Contador has started a GT in since 2010 and I don't see a big reason why he wouldn't be picked again.
I'd also say Daniele Bennati is a 95% + chance to be in the squad. Will be a very useful rouleur and has the experience to keep Contador safe on the flatter stages.
Certain riders (in my mind) are:
Contador
Roche
Kreuziger
Rogers
Hernandez
Bennati
That would leave 3 more from Tossato,Breschel,Paulinho,Morkov,Pires(?),Zaugg,Rovny(?) and both Sorensens, oh and Majka which it seems is his choice.
Supposing Majka does say yes (I think he might be inclined to do so considering Contador is looking like he's a got a real shot and riders love to be part of a Tour winning team) you then have:
Tossato, Breschel, Morkov, N.Sorenson competing for the same role as another rouleur and Paulinho, Zaugg, CAS fighting for the other spot. Tough choices ...