BlurryVII said:Also you said "Nibali last year at the Vuelta was evidence that peaking for a second time is normally slightly off the first peak"
I'll give another example later but I don't see where you guys saw Nibali stronger at the Giro than at the vuelta? A bit of a low average power output (5.64), which perhaps is normal due to extreme conditions, not much of a tough competition Uran 2nd, old evans 3rd (as usual with Nibali), when he had to face Horner who delivered much more wattage at the Vuelta.
I was basing it on the fact that Nibali was beaten by a 41yo at the Vuelta, whereas I consider Uran quite a strong up and coming GT rider.
BlurryVII said:But anyway, you can disagree with that, what about Rodriguez 2012? Much, much stronger at the Vuelta. Smoking everyone on steep parts, AND responding most of AC attacks when he struggled beating Hesjedal at the Giro, he didn't even have to repond any attack and couldn't gain serious time on him on the Stelvio.
Fair point...it is certainly possible and there have been examples of riders being equally strong at the Giro and Vuelta as you mention. I personally feel that the location of the Vuelta on the calendar has historically meant that many participants are not as strong as they might be on paper because the Vuelta is often an after-thought on a rider's calendar, having already raced the Giro or the Tour. Typically, those specifically basing their whole season around the Vuelta tend to be the 2nd tier GC guys like Dan Martin or Nico Roche. It's not that I'm trying to add weight to Contador's shoulders, but I'm trying to look for positives - if he does turn out to have reasonable allbeit, not top form, then he may still be in with a chance due to the reason I mentioned.
