StyrbjornSterki said:I don't think the scandals so drastically curtail the numbers who are doping, if at all.
For years riders have been saying you can't fail a drug test unless you first fail the IQ test. The doping protocols are well-established, and if a rider gets caught, that only can mean one of three things: 1. he doped too aggressively (exceeded the protocol), 2. he either was careless in his doping technique or failed to adequately monitor his blood values, or 3. the tests have got better. The rest of the peloton then will critically examine the failure to determine if or how they must modify their own doping program in response.
The nature of the use of EPO is a classic example. When the only EPO test was indirect, HCT level, all the top riders were doped to within a hair's breadth of the blood value limit. Then when they developed a direct test for EPO, the riders didn't stop using it, they shifted to microdosing, exploiting the drug's short half-life. I have little doubt it still is in widespread use, but now they have to use it so their bio passport values don't trip any alarms.
Voight, Kloden, O'Grady and Horner are just a few who are testament to how riders modified their doping to beat the tests.
StyrbjornSterki said:Most importantly, if even half the peloton is doping, that means they are successfully doping without detection. The other half will know this, and will know their riding "clean" is endangering their livelihood. I can't imagine they would tolerate this, which is the the greater reason I don't think the levels of doping have diminished appreciably. If even 10% are doping successfully, that compels the other 90% to follow suit.
So much of sport is down to motivation and psychological ability. Hard to be motivated when you know the others have doped. I would say that only a few can get over that others have an unfair advantage.
StyrbjornSterki said:The SOL stops running in the case of a sealed indictment, does it not? Is there any chance USADA might be waiting to tie up loose ends before indicting? Or is there any chance the Phonak investigation might also have been passed to Andre Birotte, only to get flushed along with the Pharmstrong investigation?
I dunno, I'm just asking.
i dunno either, but it would be curious if phonak have not been mentioned in the USADA investigations. Definitely a question for TT.