Vasilis said:
ray j willings said:
It is a fact . Froome lost time in the mountains to Quintana in both his tour wins. Simple.
Go check the stats.
If Froome had not had the wind split time in hand then Quintana would have won last years tour.
Froome dripped time in the last week.
How on earth is he going to cope with Aru. Quintana and a possibly on form Bertie all attacking in the last week.
There is no evidence to support Froome getting stronger in the last week of a tour.
He's best chance IMO is to ride smart like he did at the Vuelta when he lost to Bertie and maybe can get a podium at best.
Like I said his TT will have to be huge. He will need big time gaps to have any chance going into the third week.
It's funny you first mention how Froome doesn't get stronger in the last week of a tour and then mention the Vuelta where he got stronger in the last week of that tour.
Also, he is starting his year quietly, so he'll be fresher once we get to the Tour.
Froome did look better in the 3rd week at Vuelta but that does not contradict the fact that he gets beat in the mountains in the 3rd week of the tour. Looking better getting into form is not the same as going into a tour in peak condition and struggling in the 3rd week which is what has happened to him at the tour.
Also if you remember the complete farce in tactics that occurred at the Vuelta with the other contenders behind Bertie. If they had rode together then Froome would have not made the podium.
and In response to dacooley
How much time did Froome lose to Quintana in the last week of last years tour ?
He cannot afford to go into the last week with just a minute's lead.
I hope we can see Froome Bertie Aru etc all strong in the last week going mano v mano but Frooome will need to be better than he has ever been for that to happen.
I prefer we see the tour won with the strongest climber attacking and not won by hanging on to time gaps made before the mountains.
Most on this site know I am a big Bertie fan but I think Aru/Astana and their aggressive tactics will be to much for both Bertie and Froome come July.