Generally I agree with CH's analysis. Jonas's only worry has to be Pog, therefore gaining time on Remco and Rog is insignificant, especially if that means wasting a few bullets in the process. Yesterday, they should have let Jorg ride and try to put UAE under pressure.
And, of course, in isolation it is better for Tudor to sprint against one strong sprinter rather than 4. But, what CH was saying is that the chaos that a sprint naturally creates might present an opportunity where Tudor find themselves in the perfect place at the perfect time and win a stage. However, if there is only one strong team (Alpecin with MVDP) they can FOR SURE deliver Philipsen to the sprint 10 out of 10 times and Tudor will never have a chance to win (OK, maybe 1 out of 50) while the chances to win in a big peloton is maybe 1 out of 20 or so.