My team and reasoning:
ANTON HERNANDEZ Igor 952 - He seemed to have the vuelta in the bag until he fell off, so that alone suggests an increase this year is likely. That and if he's targeting the giro he should get some more points there.
BURGHARDT Marcus 289 - A BMC underperformer, hopefully he improves
CHICCHI Francesco 287 - I think that his move to the more sprint friendly quickstep team should help him improve his score
CIOLEK Gerald 346 - Same as Chicchi
GERRANS Simon 140 - Had a poor year, should score much higher
GESINK Robert 1406 - In hindsight a bad choice. I think his score will go up, but not enough to justify spending 1400 points on him
HAMMOND Roger 279 - Should be able to double his score
HAUSSLER Heinrich 251 - Lost a lot of the year to injury. If he has a season similar to 2009 he will be a great buy
HIVERT Jonathan 283 - Lots of potential. Hopefully Saur get the necessary invites for him to score well
IVANOV Serguei 196 - If he has a 2009 season, I'll do great, but realistically he should be in the 500 range
KING Benjamin 149 - Talented youngster
KUMP Marko 134 - Ditto
LANGEVELD Sebastian 229 - Hopefully he has a good classics campaign
LÖFKVIST Thomas 319 - Good rider and will be the leader at the giro, should improve
MAASKANT Martijn 118 - Cheap for a guy that could podium in any cobbled race
NUYENS Nick 220 - Hopefully the Riis magic helps Nick ride well this year
PELLIZOTTI Franco 60 - How could you not pick him at this price?
PHINNEY Taylor 217 - Bigger races=more points. Hopefully
POSTHUMA Joost 99 - Low cost, should get to lead a little bit at lux too
RICCO Riccardo 756 - Should race more now that he is on a PT team, I expect him to finish the year around 1000-1200 points
SICARD Romain 174 - Talented youngster
STEEGMANS Gert 255 - Going home to quickstep should equal results
TEN DAM Laurens 97 - Bad luck this year made him cheap
VANDE VELDE Christian 90 - Same as Ten Dam
VANSUMMEREN Johan 147 - Another guy who can win or podium anything raced on cobbles
My basic strategy was to pick guys that had an off year rather than go heavy on younger guys that should step up, although I did take a handful of younger guys who seem to be more established, rather than gambles. Also, apparently any sprinter going to quickstep is on my list.
In hindsight I should have taken Dowsett and Durate, both should prove to be good buys.