Critérium du Dauphiné May 30-June 6 2021

[BlueRoads]

No chance, not a gc rider for the highest mountains, to stocky. He Will probably win a stage, The Olympics on the other hand he is one of the favorites, course is suits him like a glove

I think there might have been some slight irony involved.

 

[Carrick-On-Seine]

Laughing at you guys crying and indirectly saying "Nooooo he beat our british riders he must be a bigger fraaaaaud!!!"

Vai Astana!!!

Lol. That brings back to that marvellous day in the 2012 Olympics.

 

[SafeBet]

Alexey Lutsenko now has stage wins in:

Tour
Vuelta

Paris - Nice
Tirreno - Adriatico
Tour de Suisse
Dauphine

So 6 of the big10.

 

[Logic-is-your-friend]

There are many surprising results here, but if you look at all of it, the picture changes a bit in my opinion.

We have Lutsenko, Izagirre, Vingegaard, Pöstlberger among the top10, while guys like Thomas and Bjerg underperformed.
I think for some results here the bikes or maybe a good recon, good preparation/ DS might be responsible. Obviously the route was indeed hard to judge, difficult to get a steady rhythm on and the end was very punchy.
So some just managed the route better than others. I don't think the results are a very good indicator of form or strength, just a hint.

Bjerg underperformed? Seems perfectly in line with his ITT's since turning pro, if not better than expected considering this course, actually.

 

[BlueRoads]

Bjerg underperformed? Seems perfectly in line with his ITT's since turning pro, if not better than expected, actually.

Okay, then I simply overestimated him / had a wrong memory.

 

[Leinster]

What a crazy win by Lutsenko.

I have the feeling that a lot of people weren't that surprised by his victory because he seems like a rider who could ride a good ITT. The problem, however, is that he never does it!

His last international (Asian Championships are excluded as well) top 10 result in an ITT dates back to Three Days of De Panne in 2016, where he was 7th! In 2014, he was 8th on the final stage of the Vuelta after having won the ITT in Post Danmark Rundt. And that's it. Nothing else on the international pro scene but he does have a couple of national titles.

Completely random win today.

I feel like it was a bit like the TT that Alaphilippe won in the Tour; it wasn't really a course suited to a TT specialist, it was a course ideal for a puncheur to solo away from a lead group with 16km to go, especially the 2nd half (so maybe 8km to go). Up, down, left, right, speed bump, road furniture, sometimes all at the same time. Not many places to get in the skis and lay down the watts, so it was always likely to throw up an odd result like this.

 

[Sciatic]

I feel like it was a bit like the TT that Alaphilippe won in the Tour; it wasn't really a course suited to a TT specialist, it was a course ideal for a puncheur to solo away from a lead group with 16km to go, especially the 2nd half (so maybe 8km to go). Up, down, left, right, speed bump, road furniture, sometimes all at the same time. Not many places to get in the skis and lay down the watts, so it was always likely to throw up an odd result like this.

I guess Roglic was smart to skip it then

 

[Escarabajo]

Lutsenko will be the biggest threat to the Slovenians in the Tour.

Vino is!
He got fed up by the results last year. And you know him!

 

[Broccolidwarf]

Astana beat Ineos by 8 seconds in the team competition today, on a TT stage, against the Ineos Tour team close to peak condition.

- and it would have been more, had Aranburu not crashed.

Seems the new Wilier TT bikes are very good indeed.

 

[yaco]

The biggest surprise about the result is that Lutsenko's form has been poor for most of the season - This was a bolt from the blue.

 

[BlueRoads]

The biggest surprise about the result is that Lutsenko's form has been poor for most of the season - This was a bolt from the blue.

He saw my cq-standing and came to rescue me!

 

[search]

The biggest surprise about the result is that Lutsenko's form has been poor for most of the season - This was a bolt from the blue.

also Ion's time trials this year weren't exactly great so far, especially as those were all courses pretty well cuited to him, and in good shape (contrary to Lutsenko).

Would be interesting to know where Aranburu could have ended up without the crash. Astana massively upped their game today.

 

[Logic-is-your-friend]

Okay, then I simply overestimated him / had a wrong memory.

His results since 2020:

11th in Algarve (52s behind the winner, 20k)
13th in Tirreno (44s, 10k)
17th WCC ITT (1m47s, 32k)
3rd in Giro (22s, 15k)
14th in Giro (2m32s, 34k)
27th in Giro (1m19s, 16k)
3rd in UAE Tour (21s, 13k)
15th in Dauphiné (35s, 16k)

The two outliers (3rd spots) in his results were short-ish and flat/downhill ITT's, and more technical than today's IIRC.

 

[WKA311]

Keep in mind that Astana are actually doing a lot of work on TTs since, at least, last year now. They have Ivan Velasco who is doing Bio Mechanics, Aerodynamics, Product Dev and engineering their products. Just look at Vlasovs TTs at the Giro. They have been doing quite some work with him too.

 

[Valv.Piti]

This is a Lopez victory if I have ever seen one. Perfect build up for TdF. Vamos!

 

[saunaking]

Alexey Lutsenko now has stage wins in:

Tour
Vuelta

Paris - Nice
Tirreno - Adriatico
Tour de Suisse
Dauphine

So 6 of the big10.

whats missing?
vuelta, pais vasco, catalunya, romandie???

 

[RedheadDane]

whats missing?
vuelta, pais vasco, catalunya, romandie???

Giro.

 

[SafeBet]

whats missing?
vuelta, pais vasco, catalunya, romandie???

Giro, not Vuelta.

 

[Gregor_Slovenia]

In cycling, nothing is sure, only surprises are for sure. Who did think in June 1999 that Lance is gonna to smash the Tour? If anyone did bet on him probably made some fine bucks

 

[AlfaLum]

In cycling, nothing is sure, only surprises are for sure. Who did think in June 1999 that Lance is gonna to smash the Tour? If anyone did bet on him probably made some fine bucks

You saying that Lutsenko will win the next 7 Tours, then turn up on some Kazach talkshow a couple years later to tell us it was all on dope?

 

[will-10]

Lutsenko is 500-1 on paddy power for the TdF, fyi

 

[Broccolidwarf]

You saying that Lutsenko will win the next 7 Tours, then turn up on some Kazach talkshow a couple years later to tell us it was all on dope?

It will be an emotional affair, on the ratings leading daytime show "Oпераh"

 

[Broccolidwarf]

Very interesting stage tomorrow.

Starting on a climb, lumpy all day, with a finale that has a short, sharp cat. 2, with the summit only 12k from the finish (mostly downhill).

Both Lutsenko and Asgreen can take the jersey by taking the stage.
Lutsenko can even afford to come 2nd to Asgreen, if they get the same time, as Lutsenko then takes the jersey by 4 seconds.

Both teams are certain to have plans to attack Postlberger.

 

[gunara]

Past 5 years:

You're right though, some big wins, here are the people he beat;

Come on, have some respect, he's the champion of 4.5 billions people, it's huge
The Kazakhs/Astana always entered the field like rock stars everytime they set wheels in this country and made sure no Iranian going nuclear when they're around.

 

[danielovichdk2]

Peculiar result with astana being winners. Not infering anything, but it will be interesting to follow the not so good itt'er Lutsenko the next coming months.